Sport Picks
Castillo CF vs Victoria CD
Spain
Tercera Division - Group 12 2008/2009 AI Match Summary
The Tercera Division - Group 12 2008/2009 game between Castillo CF and Victoria CD finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Castillo CF.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
38%
20%
42%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Victoria CD
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
38%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Victoria CD come out ahead of Castillo CF on wins alone.
- Castillo CF are the model's pick here, at 80%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Castillo CF Clean Sheet 20%
Victoria CD Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Castillo CF | Victoria CD |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 36 | 40 |
| Wins | 13 | 15 |
| Draws | 15 | 4 |
| Losses | 8 | 21 |
| Goals Scored | 1.28 | 1.02 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.97 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.60 | 1.05 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 14, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Victoria CD vs Castillo CF
0:0
Oct 25, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Castillo CF vs Victoria CD
1:2
Apr 5, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Castillo CF vs Victoria CD
5:0
Nov 16, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Victoria CD vs Castillo CF
3:0
Mar 2, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Victoria CD vs Castillo CF
0:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Castillo CF 76 / 100
Victoria CD 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Castillo CF Victoria CD
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Castillo CF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Castillo CF scored in 61% of their last 36 games.
Victoria CD let in goals in 70% of their last 40 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.
Castillo CF has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
- VS Victoria CD
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Castillo CF
(Home) 09 May
Los Llanos
2 : 3 Castillo CF
02 May
Castillo CF
3 : 0 SD Tenisca
25 Apr
Tijarafe
2 : 2 Castillo CF
11 Apr
CD Charco Del Pino
0 : 0 Castillo CF
04 Apr
Castillo CF
0 : 1 Teror
Page 1 of 8
02 May
Castillo CF
3 : 0 SD Tenisca
04 Apr
Castillo CF
0 : 1 Teror
26 Mar
Castillo CF
3 : 2 Las Palmas B
17 Mar
Castillo CF
3 : 0 Orientacion Maritima
06 Mar
Castillo CF
0 : 0 Mensajero
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Victoria CD
(Away) 15 May
Victoria CD
2 : 1 UD Guia
08 May
Pajara Playas
2 : 0 Victoria CD
01 May
Victoria CD
1 : 0 Orientacion Maritima
24 Apr
Atletico Granadilla
2 : 0 Victoria CD
17 Apr
Victoria CD
1 : 0 UD Realejos
Page 1 of 8
08 May
Pajara Playas
2 : 0 Victoria CD
24 Apr
Atletico Granadilla
2 : 0 Victoria CD
06 Apr
Mensajero
1 : 0 Victoria CD
27 Mar
CD Marino
3 : 0 Victoria CD
12 Mar
AD Huracan
2 : 0 Victoria CD
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tenerife B | 38 | 24 | 9 | 5 | 75:27 | 81 |
| 2 | SD Tenisca | 38 | 23 | 11 | 4 | 65:27 | 80 |
| 3 | Castillo CF | 38 | 20 | 9 | 9 | 60:32 | 69 |
| 4 | Mensajero | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 48:33 | 66 |
| 5 | CD Laguna | 38 | 16 | 11 | 11 | 52:33 | 59 |
| 6 | Los Llanos | 38 | 14 | 14 | 10 | 57:43 | 56 |
| 7 | Galdar | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 40:41 | 54 |
| 8 | Atletico Granadilla | 38 | 16 | 6 | 16 | 51:43 | 54 |
| 9 | CD Marino | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 45:51 | 53 |
| 10 | UD Realejos | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 42:45 | 52 |
| 11 | Orientacion Maritima | 38 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 51:52 | 50 |
| 12 | Victoria CD | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 48:54 | 49 |
| 13 | Univ. Las Palmas B | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 40:52 | 46 |
| 14 | Tijarafe | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 44:49 | 46 |
| 15 | Las Zocas | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 40:54 | 45 |
| 16 | Villa Santa Brigida B | 38 | 8 | 18 | 12 | 42:52 | 42 |
| 17 | AD Huracan | 38 | 12 | 4 | 22 | 42:64 | 40 |
| 18 | UD Tegueste | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 44:55 | 39 |
| 19 | Arguineguin | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 41:67 | 35 |
| 20 | CD Teguise | 38 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 31:84 | 27 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2008/2009 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2008/2009 (Main)
