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Castkovce vs Velke Ludince - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Slovakia Slovakia

3. Liga - West
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Castkovce host Velke Ludince in the 3. Liga - West. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Castkovce at 1.57 goals for, 2 against; Velke Ludince at 1.54 for, 2.04 against. Past meetings favor Castkovce slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 28, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 2.06 vs 2.06, favoring Velke Ludince. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Castkovce
20%
Draws
51%
Velke Ludince
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Velke Ludince

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Velke Ludince come out ahead of Castkovce on wins alone.
  • 29% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.4%
Castkovce Clean Sheet 10%
Velke Ludince Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Castkovce Velke Ludince
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 6 11
Draws 11 5
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.57 1.54
Goals Conceded 2 2.04
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 3. Liga - West
Castkovce vs Velke Ludince
2:1
Aug 3, 2025 3. Liga - West
Velke Ludince vs Castkovce
1:3
Apr 27, 2025 3. Liga - West
Velke Ludince vs Castkovce
1:1
Oct 12, 2024 3. Liga - West
Castkovce vs Velke Ludince
0:2
May 4, 2024 3. Liga - West
Velke Ludince vs Castkovce
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Castkovce 29 / 100
Velke Ludince 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Castkovce Velke Ludince

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Castkovce Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Castkovce scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Velke Ludince conceded in 93% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Castkovce went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Castkovce VS Velke Ludince
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Castkovce

(Home)
09 Oct
Myjava
5 : 0
Castkovce
03 Oct
Castkovce
1 : 2
MSK Puchov
26 Sept
Dunajska Luzna
1 : 0
Castkovce
19 Sept
Castkovce
3 : 2
Komarno B
13 Sept
Castkovce
3 : 3
Raca
Page 1 of 6

Velke Ludince

(Away)
03 Oct
Gabcikovo
5 : 2
Velke Ludince
27 Sept
Velke Ludince
2 : 2
Belusa
20 Sept
Trencin B
5 : 1
Velke Ludince
15 Sept
Velke Ludince
3 : 2
Dun. Streda
12 Sept
Velke Ludince
3 : 1
Nove Zamky
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nitra 9 8 1 0 30:7 25
2 MSK Puchov 9 5 3 1 18:5 18
3 Belusa 9 4 4 1 19:11 16
4 Myjava 9 4 3 2 13:11 15
5 Dunajska Luzna 9 4 3 2 11:9 15
6 Gabcikovo 9 4 2 3 15:13 14
7 Trencin B 9 4 1 4 20:18 13
8 Banik Prievidza 9 4 0 5 15:15 12
9 Nove Zamky 9 3 3 3 11:16 12
10 Dun. Streda B 9 3 2 4 19:15 11
11 Raca 9 2 4 3 13:15 10
12 MSK Senec 9 3 0 6 8:17 9
13 Castkovce 9 2 2 5 17:20 8
14 Komarno B 9 2 2 5 10:23 8
15 Sala 9 1 3 5 8:17 6
16 Velke Ludince 9 1 3 5 12:27 6
Promotion - 2. liga 2027/2028 (Main)