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Castlebar Celtic vs Finn Harps Prediction & H2H Stats

Ireland Ireland

League Cup 2010
Castlebar Celtic Logo

Castlebar Celtic

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Finn Harps Logo

Finn Harps

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-3, with Finn Harps advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Castlebar Celtic
15%
Draws
21%
Finn Harps
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Castlebar Celtic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

21% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Finn Harps come out ahead of Castlebar Celtic on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Finn Harps arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Finn Harps, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Castlebar Celtic Clean Sheet 10%
Finn Harps Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Castlebar Celtic Finn Harps
Matches Played 12 33
Wins 5 8
Draws 0 5
Losses 7 20
Goals Scored 1.5 1
Goals Conceded 2.42 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2010 League Cup
Castlebar Celtic vs Finn Harps
1:3
Apr 14, 2009 League Cup
Castlebar Celtic vs Finn Harps
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Castlebar Celtic 30 / 100
Finn Harps 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Castlebar Celtic Finn Harps

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Finn Harps Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Castlebar Celtic found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (12 games).

Finn Harps let in goals in 79% of their last 33 matches.

Recent resilience: Castlebar Celtic stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Castlebar Celtic VS Finn Harps
0.5 Goals Scored 0.5
4 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Castlebar Celtic

(Home)
15 Aug
Dundalk
8 : 0
Castlebar Celtic
18 Jul
Douglas Hall
0 : 1
Castlebar Celtic
16 May
Castlebar Celtic
3 : 0
North End United
20 Jul
Castlebar Celtic
3 : 6
Longford
11 May
North End United
1 : 4
Castlebar Celtic
Page 1 of 3

Finn Harps

(Away)
25 Sept
Treaty United
2 : 1
Finn Harps
18 Sept
Finn Harps
0 : 1
Longford
11 Sept
Wexford
1 : 3
Finn Harps
04 Sept
Finn Harps
0 : 1
Athlone
28 Aug
UC Dublin
5 : 4
Finn Harps
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Sligo Rovers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mervue United -
TBD -
TBD -
Letterkenny Rovers -
Bray -
TBD -
TBD -
Drogheda -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Patricks -
Derry City -
TBD -
TBD -
Galway United -
Castlebar Celtic 1
Salthill 0
TBD -
Finn Harps -
UC Dublin -
TBD -
Longford 0
Athlone 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Shamrock Rovers -
Dundalk -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sporting Fingal -
Tralee -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kerry -
TBD -
TBD -
Waterford -
Limerick -
TBD -
TBD -
Cobh Ramblers -
Wexford -
TBD -
TBD -
Cork City -
Bohemians -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tullamore 3
Carlow 2
Shelbourne 0
Monaghan United 1
1/16-finals
Sligo Rovers -
TBD -
Mervue United 0
Letterkenny Rovers 1
Bray 3
Drogheda 1
TBD -
St. Patricks -
Derry City 3
Galway United 2
Castlebar Celtic 1
Finn Harps 3
UC Dublin 1
Athlone 0
TBD -
Shamrock Rovers -
Dundalk -
TBD -
TBD -
Sporting Fingal -
Tralee -
TBD -
Kerry 0
Waterford 2
Limerick 2
Cobh Ramblers 1
Wexford 0
Cork City 3
Bohemians -
TBD -
Tullamore 1
Monaghan United 6
1/8-finals
Sligo Rovers 6
Letterkenny Rovers 0
Bray 0
St. Patricks 2
Derry City 2
Finn Harps 0
UC Dublin 0
Shamrock Rovers 1
Dundalk 2
Sporting Fingal 0
Tralee 0
Waterford 9
Limerick 3
Cork City 0
Bohemians 1
Monaghan United 2
Quarter-finals
Sligo Rovers 4
St. Patricks 1
Derry City 1
Shamrock Rovers 2
Dundalk 2
Waterford 1
Limerick 0
Monaghan United 3
Semi-finals
Sligo Rovers 2
Shamrock Rovers 1
Dundalk 0
Monaghan United 1
Final
Sligo Rovers 1
Monaghan United 0