Sport Picks
Castlebar Celtic vs Ringmahon Rangers
Ireland
FAI Cup 2009 
AI Match Summary
This match ends 3-1, with Castlebar Celtic advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
64%
15%
21%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Castlebar Celtic
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
21%
/ Low Confidence
- Ringmahon Rangers haven't matched Castlebar Celtic's recent run of results.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- Castlebar Celtic have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Castlebar Celtic, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Castlebar Celtic Clean Sheet 15%
Ringmahon Rangers Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Castlebar Celtic | Ringmahon Rangers |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 12 | 12 |
| Wins | 5 | 4 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 7 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1.08 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.42 | 2.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 25, 2009 FAI Cup
Castlebar Celtic vs Ringmahon Rangers
3:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Castlebar Celtic 35 / 100
Ringmahon Rangers 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Castlebar Celtic Ringmahon Rangers
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ringmahon Rangers Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ringmahon Rangers has conceded goals in 91% of their last 11 outings.
Games between these two average 4.00 goals.
Castlebar Celtic found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (12 games).
Recent resilience: Castlebar Celtic stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Castlebar Celtic VS Ringmahon Rangers
2.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Castlebar Celtic
(Home) 15 Aug
Dundalk
8 : 0 Castlebar Celtic
18 Jul
Douglas Hall
0 : 1 Castlebar Celtic
16 May
Castlebar Celtic
3 : 0 North End United
20 Jul
Castlebar Celtic
3 : 6 Longford
11 May
North End United
1 : 4 Castlebar Celtic
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16 May
Castlebar Celtic
3 : 0 North End United
20 Jul
Castlebar Celtic
3 : 6 Longford
13 Apr
Castlebar Celtic
1 : 3 Finn Harps
23 Mar
Castlebar Celtic
1 : 0 Salthill
25 Apr
Castlebar Celtic
3 : 1 Ringmahon Rangers
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Ringmahon Rangers
(Away) 19 Jul
Ringmahon Rangers
: Bohemians
16 May
Liffey Wanderers
1 : 2 Ringmahon Rangers
17 May
Ringmahon Rangers
1 : 3 University College Cork
19 Jul
Athlone
1 : 0 Ringmahon Rangers
21 Jul
Kerry
2 : 0 Ringmahon Rangers
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16 May
Liffey Wanderers
1 : 2 Ringmahon Rangers
19 Jul
Athlone
1 : 0 Ringmahon Rangers
21 Jul
Kerry
2 : 0 Ringmahon Rangers
21 Apr
Bandon
1 : 1 Ringmahon Rangers
25 Apr
Castlebar Celtic
3 : 1 Ringmahon Rangers
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Sligo Rovers 4
Cork City 3
Ballymun Utd 0
Derry City 6
Dundalk 3
Mervue United 1
Mayfield Utd 1
Bohemians 8
St. Patricks 1
Limerick 0
Cherry Orchard 2
Monaghan United 6
Crumlin Utd 2
Shelbourne 1
Carrigaline Utd 0
Waterford 6
Bray 2
Bluebell Utd 1
Salthill 1
Tralee 2
Galway United 3
Finn Harps 0
Wexford 4
Longford 5
Shamrock Rovers 4
Drogheda 1
Arklow 1
UC Dublin 3
Athlone 2
Kildare County 1
Blarney Utd 0
Sporting Fingal 2
1/8-finals
Sligo Rovers 1
Derry City 0
Dundalk 0
Bohemians 1
St. Patricks 1
Monaghan United 0
Crumlin Utd 0
Waterford 2
Bray 2
Tralee 0
Galway United 0
Longford 1
Shamrock Rovers 3
UC Dublin 1
Athlone 1
Sporting Fingal 4
Quarter-finals
Sligo Rovers 2
Bohemians 1
St. Patricks 1
Waterford 3
Bray 2
Longford 1
Shamrock Rovers 3
Sporting Fingal 4
Semi-finals
Sligo Rovers 1
Waterford 0
Bray 2
Sporting Fingal 4
Final
Sligo Rovers 1
Sporting Fingal 2
