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Castro Daire vs Ferreira de Aves

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Castro Daire in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Castro Daire.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Castro Daire
20%
Draws
57%
Ferreira de Aves
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ferreira de Aves

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Castro Daire have won more games recently than Ferreira de Aves.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Castro Daire here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.8%
Castro Daire Clean Sheet 20%
Ferreira de Aves Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Castro Daire Ferreira de Aves
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 8 7
Draws 7 5
Losses 18 18
Goals Scored 0.94 0.53
Goals Conceded 1.15 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Ferreira de Aves vs Castro Daire
1:0
Apr 3, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Castro Daire vs Ferreira de Aves
3:0
Feb 20, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Castro Daire vs Ferreira de Aves
2:0
Dec 5, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Ferreira de Aves vs Castro Daire
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Castro Daire 36 / 100
Ferreira de Aves 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Castro Daire Ferreira de Aves

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ferreira de Aves Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Ferreira de Aves conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Castro Daire scored in 52% of their last 33 outings.

Solid form: Castro Daire remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Castro Daire VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Castro Daire

(Home)
19 Sept
Castro Daire
0 : 1
Portimonense
13 Sept
Beira Mar
1 : 1
Castro Daire
22 Aug
Sousense
0 : 1
Castro Daire
16 Aug
Castro Daire
0 : 2
UD Ovarense
31 Aug
Castro Daire
1 : 2
Anadia
Page 1 of 7

Ferreira de Aves

(Away)
08 May
CD Gouveia
1 : 2
Ferreira de Aves
01 May
Ferreira de Aves
1 : 0
Castro Daire
24 Apr
Ferreira de Aves
1 : 1
Uniao de Coimbra
10 Apr
Ferreira de Aves
1 : 0
CD Gouveia
03 Apr
Castro Daire
3 : 0
Ferreira de Aves
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SC Salgueiros 18 13 4 1 29:14 43
2 Leca 18 12 3 3 36:15 39
3 Gondomar 18 10 3 5 34:19 33
4 Castro Daire 18 9 5 4 25:15 32
5 SC Espinho 18 8 5 5 24:13 29
6 Santa Cruz Alvarenga 18 5 5 8 13:16 20
7 Valadares Gaia FC 18 5 5 8 22:20 20
8 Uniao de Coimbra 18 4 4 10 17:29 16
9 Ferreira de Aves 18 3 3 12 6:35 12
10 CD Gouveia 18 1 3 14 8:38 6
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022 (Relegation Group)