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Castro Daire vs Rebordosa

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2022/2023
Castro Daire Logo

Castro Daire

2 - 2
FT
Rebordosa Logo

Rebordosa

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2022/2023 game between Castro Daire and Rebordosa finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Castro Daire
15%
Draws
36%
Rebordosa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Castro Daire

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Rebordosa come out ahead of Castro Daire on wins alone.
  • Castro Daire are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 29%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Castro Daire Clean Sheet 20%
Rebordosa Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Castro Daire Rebordosa
Matches Played 29 38
Wins 5 19
Draws 7 9
Losses 17 10
Goals Scored 0.79 1.26
Goals Conceded 1.34 0.95
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 12, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Castro Daire vs Rebordosa
2:2
Oct 30, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Rebordosa vs Castro Daire
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Castro Daire 42 / 100
Rebordosa 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Castro Daire Rebordosa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rebordosa let in goals in 61% of their last 38 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Rebordosa's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Castro Daire found the back of the net in 48% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Castro Daire VS Rebordosa
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Castro Daire

(Home)
13 Sept
Beira Mar
1 : 1
Castro Daire
22 Aug
Sousense
0 : 1
Castro Daire
16 Aug
Castro Daire
0 : 2
UD Ovarense
31 Aug
Castro Daire
1 : 2
Anadia
16 Apr
Leca
1 : 0
Castro Daire
Page 1 of 6

Rebordosa

(Away)
06 Sept
Rebordosa
1 : 0
Vila Mea
30 Aug
Rebordosa
2 : 3
FC Alpendorada
23 Aug
Chaves B
1 : 0
Rebordosa
16 Aug
Rebordosa
0 : 1
Tirsense
31 May
SC Vianense
2 : 0
Rebordosa
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SC Salgueiros 26 15 7 4 39:25 52
2 Lusitania FC 26 15 7 4 49:23 52
3 Rebordosa 26 14 9 3 42:23 51
4 Beira Mar 26 13 9 4 35:21 48
5 Maritimo B 26 12 7 7 39:26 43
6 Valadares Gaia FC 26 10 10 6 39:29 40
7 Gondomar 26 10 8 8 33:32 38
8 Camacha 26 9 7 10 30:34 34
9 Leca 26 10 3 13 29:29 33
10 Machico 26 7 8 11 31:40 29
11 FC Alpendorada 26 8 5 13 30:43 29
12 Castro Daire 26 4 8 14 23:34 20
13 GD Resende 26 4 5 17 30:50 17
14 Guarda Desportiva 26 2 5 19 21:61 8
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2022/2023 (Promotion Group)