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Castro Daire vs SC Salgueiros - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Castro Daire host SC Salgueiros in the Campeonato de Portugal - Group B. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Recent numbers: Castro Daire at 0.9 goals for, 1.28 against; SC Salgueiros at 1.06 for, 0.72 against. Past meetings favor SC Salgueiros slightly — 0-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 19, 2023, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 0.92 vs 0.65, favoring SC Salgueiros. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Castro Daire
30%
Draws
43%
SC Salgueiros
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: SC Salgueiros

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Castro Daire haven't matched SC Salgueiros's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Castro Daire Clean Sheet 20%
SC Salgueiros Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Castro Daire SC Salgueiros
Matches Played 29 36
Wins 6 15
Draws 6 13
Losses 17 8
Goals Scored 0.9 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.28 0.72
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 0.65
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 19, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
SC Salgueiros vs Castro Daire
1:1
Nov 6, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Castro Daire vs SC Salgueiros
1:2
Feb 6, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Castro Daire vs SC Salgueiros
1:1
Nov 7, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
SC Salgueiros vs Castro Daire
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Castro Daire 32 / 100
SC Salgueiros 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Castro Daire SC Salgueiros

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SC Salgueiros let in goals in 61% of their last 36 matches.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Castro Daire stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Castro Daire scored in 52% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Castro Daire VS SC Salgueiros
0.83 Goals Scored 0.63
0.67 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 50%
17% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Castro Daire

(Home)
04 Oct
Castro Daire
3 : 0
Estrela Calheta
19 Sept
Castro Daire
0 : 1
Portimonense
13 Sept
Beira Mar
1 : 1
Castro Daire
22 Aug
Sousense
0 : 1
Castro Daire
16 Aug
Castro Daire
0 : 2
UD Ovarense
Page 1 of 6

SC Salgueiros

(Away)
19 Sept
SC Salgueiros
1 : 0
Feirense
13 Sept
SC Salgueiros
1 : 0
Cinfaes
04 Sept
SC Salgueiros
1 : 1
Machico
30 Aug
SC Salgueiros
2 : 1
Sousense
23 Aug
SC Salgueiros
1 : 1
Sanjoanense
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Ovarense 4 4 0 0 8:0 12
2 Machico 4 2 2 0 5:2 8
3 Camacha 4 2 2 0 6:4 8
4 Castro Daire 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
5 Florgrade 4 2 1 1 4:2 7
6 SC Salgueiros 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
7 Cinfaes 4 1 2 1 6:5 5
8 Sanjoanense 4 1 2 1 5:5 5
9 Uniao Lamas 4 1 2 1 5:5 5
10 Beira Mar 4 0 3 1 4:6 3
11 FC Alpendorada 4 1 0 3 4:7 3
12 Estrela Calheta 4 0 2 2 2:8 2
13 Guarda FC 4 0 1 3 2:5 1
14 Sousense 4 0 1 3 3:8 1
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Relegation Group 2026/2027 (Main)