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Castro vs CD Tropezon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Madrono J.
(Penalty)
48' Event
Raba A.

AI Match Summary

CD Tropezon in this Tercera RFEF - Group 3 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored CD Tropezon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Castro
20%
Draws
60%
CD Tropezon
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CD Tropezon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • CD Tropezon have won more games recently than Castro.
  • Model gives CD Tropezon a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors CD Tropezon here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Castro Clean Sheet 21%
CD Tropezon Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Castro CD Tropezon
Matches Played 35 38
Wins 12 24
Draws 6 6
Losses 17 8
Goals Scored 1.2 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.31 0.68
Expected Goals (xG) 0.44 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Castro vs CD Tropezon
0:2
May 9, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Castro vs CD Tropezon
0:2
Jan 11, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Tropezon vs Castro
3:1
May 24, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Tropezon vs Castro
2:0
May 18, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Castro vs CD Tropezon
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Castro Compare

Avg xG / game 0.34
Avg xA / game 0.22

CD Tropezon Compare

Top Goalscorer Raba A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Castro 10 / 100
CD Tropezon 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Castro CD Tropezon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Tropezon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Castro scored in 60% of their last 35 games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Castro stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

CD Tropezon has conceded goals in 47% of their last 38 outings.

Scoring Trends

Castro VS CD Tropezon
0.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 0.38
63% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Castro

(Home)
04 Oct
Castro
0 : 2
CD Tropezon
27 Sept
Castro
0 : 2
Atletico Mineros
19 Sept
CD Revilla
2 : 2
Castro
13 Sept
Castro
2 : 0
Solares
06 Sept
Selaya
0 : 0
Castro
Page 1 of 7

CD Tropezon

(Away)
04 Oct
Castro
0 : 2
CD Tropezon
27 Sept
CD Tropezon
2 : 0
CD Revilla
19 Sept
Solares
1 : 2
CD Tropezon
12 Sept
CD Tropezon
3 : 0
Selaya
06 Sept
CD Laredo
1 : 2
CD Tropezon
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Tropezon 5 5 0 0 11:2 15
2 Bezana 5 5 0 0 11:3 15
3 CD Laredo 5 4 0 1 12:2 12
4 Vimenor 5 3 1 1 7:3 10
5 Cayon CD 5 3 1 1 5:2 10
6 Torina 5 2 3 0 8:2 9
7 UD Samano 5 2 2 1 12:6 8
8 CD Revilla 5 2 2 1 10:6 8
9 Selaya 5 2 1 2 5:7 7
10 Atletico Mineros 5 2 0 3 4:11 6
11 Castro 5 1 2 2 4:6 5
12 UM Escobedo 5 1 2 2 3:7 5
13 Guarnizo 5 1 1 3 6:9 4
14 Solares 5 1 1 3 3:6 4
15 Velarde 5 1 1 3 3:8 4
16 Atletico Albericia 5 0 1 4 3:9 1
17 Naval Reinosa 5 0 1 4 4:13 1
18 CD Barquereno 5 0 1 4 2:11 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 (Play Offs)