Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Castro vs Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive) Prediction & H2H Stats

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 3 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Castro in this Tercera Division - Group 3 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Castro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Castro
30%
Draws
41%
Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive)
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive)

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Castro lately — more wins on the board than Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive).
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 3 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Castro Clean Sheet 20%
Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive) Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Castro Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive)
Matches Played 37 31
Wins 11 10
Draws 9 8
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 1.19 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 24, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive) vs Castro
3:2
Oct 8, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Castro vs Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive)
1:5
Apr 16, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Castro vs Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive)
4:0
Nov 20, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Castro vs Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive)
0:0
Feb 14, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive) vs Castro
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Castro 31 / 100
Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive) 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Castro Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive)

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Castro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive)'s defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 31 matches.

Castro went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Castro's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 37 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Castro VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Castro

(Home)
04 Oct
Castro
0 : 2
CD Tropezon
27 Sept
Castro
0 : 2
Atletico Mineros
19 Sept
CD Revilla
2 : 2
Castro
13 Sept
Castro
2 : 0
Solares
06 Sept
Selaya
0 : 0
Castro
Page 1 of 8

Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive)

(Away)
12 May
Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive)
2 : 4
CD Tropezon
05 May
Solares
2 : 0
Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive)
28 Apr
Deportiva Santillana
2 : 3
Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive)
21 Apr
Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive)
2 : 2
CD Siete Villas
14 Apr
Bezana
2 : 3
Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive)
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gimnastic de Torrelavega 38 28 6 4 78:23 90
2 CD Tropezon 38 25 6 7 68:27 81
3 CD Laredo 38 21 9 8 59:29 72
4 Cayon CD 38 18 16 4 49:18 70
5 Rayo Cantabria 38 17 12 9 47:34 63
6 Guarnizo 38 18 9 11 50:41 63
7 CD Siete Villas 38 17 12 9 50:38 63
8 Barreda Balompie 38 15 8 15 57:52 53
9 UM Escobedo 38 13 12 13 56:42 51
10 Velarde 38 13 12 13 53:45 51
11 Textil Escudo 38 14 5 19 51:52 47
12 Castro 38 12 10 16 48:50 46
13 Bezana 38 11 12 15 43:68 45
14 Atletico Albericia 38 13 5 20 41:54 44
15 Vimenor 38 10 14 14 59:61 44
16 Selaya 38 11 11 16 33:59 44
17 Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive) 38 9 13 16 44:54 40
18 CD Revilla 38 8 12 18 38:70 36
19 Escuela Meruelo 38 6 7 25 31:76 25
20 CD Colindres 38 2 7 29 23:85 13
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2016/2017 (Main)