Sport Picks
Castro vs Naval Reinosa Prediction & H2H Stats
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2024/2025 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
Castro in this Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Castro.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Castro lately — more wins on the board than Naval Reinosa.
- Win probability leans Castro's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Castro | Naval Reinosa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 38 | 31 |
| Wins | 12 | 8 |
| Draws | 9 | 4 |
| Losses | 17 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 1.16 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.37 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.52 | 1.08 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Castro Compare
Naval Reinosa Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Naval Reinosa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 31 matches.
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Castro went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Naval Reinosa's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Castro
(Home)Naval Reinosa
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UD Samano | 34 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 52:22 | 70 |
| 2 | CD Tropezon | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 58:30 | 67 |
| 3 | Atletico Albericia | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 64:39 | 64 |
| 4 | Cayon CD | 34 | 19 | 5 | 10 | 61:41 | 62 |
| 5 | Castro | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 45:26 | 59 |
| 6 | Vimenor | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 63:42 | 57 |
| 7 | Bezana | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 46:41 | 54 |
| 8 | Torina | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 49:44 | 50 |
| 9 | CD Barquereno | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 60:59 | 49 |
| 10 | Guarnizo | 34 | 11 | 15 | 8 | 44:37 | 48 |
| 11 | CD Revilla | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 46:53 | 42 |
| 12 | CD Colindres | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 36:53 | 36 |
| 13 | Gama | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 34:56 | 36 |
| 14 | Atletico Mineros | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 33:58 | 35 |
| 15 | Barreda Balompie | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 49:65 | 34 |
| 16 | Naval Reinosa | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 40:59 | 33 |
| 17 | CD Siete Villas | 34 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 29:53 | 28 |
| 18 | CD Monte | 34 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 33:64 | 20 |
