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Castro vs Textil Escudo

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2022/2023 game between Castro and Textil Escudo finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Castro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Castro
20%
Draws
48%
Textil Escudo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Textil Escudo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Castro come out ahead of Textil Escudo on wins alone.
  • Model gives Castro a 32% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Castro Clean Sheet 68%
Textil Escudo Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Castro Textil Escudo
Matches Played 39 31
Wins 16 8
Draws 8 5
Losses 15 18
Goals Scored 1.31 1
Goals Conceded 1.15 1.84
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 22, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Castro vs Textil Escudo
2:0
Sep 18, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Textil Escudo vs Castro
0:0
Jan 30, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Castro vs Textil Escudo
2:0
Oct 3, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Textil Escudo vs Castro
1:3
Mar 10, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Castro vs Textil Escudo
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Castro 86 / 100
Textil Escudo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Castro Textil Escudo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Castro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Castro scored in 64% of their last 39 games.

Defensive concern: Textil Escudo conceded in 77% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Textil Escudo's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Castro VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Castro

(Home)
06 Sept
Selaya
0 : 0
Castro
09 May
Castro
0 : 2
CD Tropezon
03 May
UC Cartes
0 : 0
Castro
26 Apr
Castro
2 : 3
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
18 Apr
CD Revilla
2 : 1
Castro
Page 1 of 8

Textil Escudo

(Away)
04 Oct
SD Negreira
4 : 0
Textil Escudo
27 Sept
Textil Escudo
2 : 1
SD Negreira
22 Apr
Cayon CD
6 : 1
Textil Escudo
16 Apr
Textil Escudo
1 : 3
Vimenor
08 Apr
CD Revilla
3 : 2
Textil Escudo
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cayon CD 30 16 11 3 59:26 59
2 Vimenor 30 16 9 5 52:36 57
3 CD Tropezon 30 13 13 4 46:23 52
4 UM Escobedo 30 16 4 10 50:34 52
5 Atletico Albericia 30 13 13 4 53:34 52
6 Torina 30 14 7 9 34:20 49
7 Naval Reinosa 30 12 7 11 26:27 43
8 CD Siete Villas 30 11 8 11 34:37 41
9 UD Samano 30 9 13 8 39:43 40
10 CD Revilla 30 8 9 13 37:44 33
11 Guarnizo 30 7 10 13 27:35 31
12 UC Cartes 30 8 7 15 26:46 31
13 Castro 30 6 12 12 33:43 30
14 Solares 30 7 7 16 34:49 28
15 Gama 30 6 8 16 30:58 26
16 Textil Escudo 30 6 6 18 26:51 24
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2022/2023 (Play Offs)