Sport Picks
Castrumfavara vs Igea Virtus - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Serie D - Group I 
AI Match Summary
Castrumfavara host Igea Virtus in the Serie D - Group I. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Castrumfavara have averaged 1.1 scored and 1.42 conceded recently, against Igea Virtus's 1.63 scored and 1.2 conceded. Head-to-head, Castrumfavara have won 1 to Igea Virtus's 1, with 3 draws. They last met on Mar 29, 2026, ending 3:2. The numbers (1.69 xG vs 1.69) point toward Igea Virtus. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Castrumfavara haven't matched Igea Virtus's recent run of results.
- 73% — that's where the model lands on Igea Virtus taking it.
- Regular Serie D - Group I form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Castrumfavara | Igea Virtus |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 14 |
| Draws | 6 | 10 |
| Losses | 16 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 1.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.42 | 1.2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Castrumfavara scored in 65% of their last 31 outings.
Igea Virtus has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Recent resilience: Castrumfavara stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Castrumfavara
(Home)Igea Virtus
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Reggina | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 15:1 | 15 |
| 2 | Vibonese | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15:5 | 13 |
| 3 | Sambiase | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10:5 | 13 |
| 4 | Calcio Avola | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9:10 | 12 |
| 5 | Igea Virtus | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14:11 | 11 |
| 6 | Licata | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8:8 | 11 |
| 7 | Digiesse PraiaTortora | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:4 | 9 |
| 8 | Milazzo | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 5:8 | 9 |
| 9 | Athletic Palermo | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9:8 | 8 |
| 10 | Nissa | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9:9 | 8 |
| 11 | ASD Modica Calcio | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:5 | 7 |
| 12 | Lamezia | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:13 | 5 |
| 13 | Siracusa | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8:5 | 4 |
| 14 | Castrumfavara | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:7 | 4 |
| 15 | Gela | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:6 | 4 |
| 16 | USD Ragusa | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4:9 | 2 |
| 17 | Trapani | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3:10 | 1 |
| 18 | Enna | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0:15 | 1 |
