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Catalca Spor vs Derincespor

Turkey Turkey

TFF 3. Lig Group 2 2016/2017
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Ozel M.
22' Event
Demir G.
(Penalty)
90' Event
Demir G.

AI Match Summary

Catalca Spor in this TFF 3. Lig Group 2 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Catalca Spor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Catalca Spor
33%
Draws
27%
Derincespor
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Catalca Spor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Catalca Spor lately — more wins on the board than Derincespor.
  • Model gives Catalca Spor a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Catalca Spor Clean Sheet 20%
Derincespor Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Catalca Spor Derincespor
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 11 4
Draws 14 9
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 0.75 0
Goals Conceded 1.13 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 26, 2017 3. Lig Group 2
Catalca Spor vs Derincespor
2:1
Oct 16, 2016 3. Lig Group 2
Derincespor vs Catalca Spor
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Catalca Spor Compare

Top Goalscorer Demir G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Derincespor Compare

Top Goalscorer Ozel M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Catalca Spor 40 / 100
Derincespor 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Catalca Spor Derincespor

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Derincespor's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Catalca Spor found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (38 games).

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Derincespor's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Catalca Spor VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bodrumspor34198759:3165
2Erbaaspor341612648:2960
3Silivrispor341610834:2558
4Manisa FK341513659:3758
5Catalca Spor341510942:3355
6Duzcespor341412855:4654
7Beyoglu Yeni Carsi341581146:3953
8Kirikhanspor3412111136:3947
9Kemerspor 20033411121152:4545
10Yomraspor3410141028:2944
11Bucaspor 19283411101341:4643
12Batman Petrolspor3411101338:3843
13Yesil Bursa341181540:3541
14Dardanelspor341181542:5441
15Pazarspor341161734:4639
16Dersim Spor34961933:5433
17Derincespor345111831:5926
18Kirikkale FK344111928:6123