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Catalonia Selection vs Mali - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Friendly International 2023
Thu, Jun 8, 2023
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Catalonia Selection host Mali in the Friendly International 2023. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Mali have shipped 0.52 goals a game lately, while Catalonia Selection have conceded 1.11 and scored 2.44. Past meetings favor Catalonia Selection slightly — 0-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 8, 2023, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 0.88, favoring Catalonia Selection. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Catalonia Selection
20%
Draws
32%
Mali
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Catalonia Selection

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mali come out ahead of Catalonia Selection on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Catalonia Selection's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Catalonia Selection Clean Sheet 20%
Mali Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Catalonia Selection Mali
Matches Played 9 29
Wins 6 12
Draws 2 11
Losses 1 6
Goals Scored 2.44 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.11 0.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 8, 2023 Friendly International
Catalonia Selection vs Mali
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Catalonia Selection 85 / 100
Mali 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Catalonia Selection Mali

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Catalonia Selection Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Catalonia Selection scored in 89% of their last 9 games.

Catalonia Selection has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Mali has conceded goals in 45% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 0.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Catalonia Selection VS Mali
2 Goals Scored 1.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
100% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Catalonia Selection

(Home)
18 Nov
Catalonia Selection
2 : 1
Palestine
28 May
Catalonia Selection
2 : 0
Costa Rica
25 May
Catalonia Selection
6 : 0
Jamaica
25 Mar
Catalonia Selection
2 : 1
Venezuela
28 Dec
Catalonia Selection
3 : 4
Tunisia
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Mali

(Away)
04 Oct
Morocco
1 : 1
Mali
29 Sept
Liberia
0 : 1
Mali
25 Sept
Mali
3 : 1
Cape Verde
04 Jun
Iran
2 : 0
Mali
31 Mar
Russia
0 : 0
Mali
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