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Catanduva FC vs Itapirense

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A3
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Brito d. A.
49' Event
Alan

AI Match Summary

The Paulista A3 game between Catanduva FC and Itapirense finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Catanduva FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Catanduva FC
20%
Draws
38%
Itapirense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Catanduva FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Catanduva FC come out ahead of Itapirense on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Catanduva FC's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Paulista A3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Catanduva FC Clean Sheet 20%
Itapirense Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Catanduva FC Itapirense
Matches Played 31 33
Wins 12 5
Draws 10 7
Losses 9 21
Goals Scored 0.63 1
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 Paulista A3
Catanduva FC vs Itapirense
2:0
Mar 8, 2025 Paulista A3
Itapirense vs Catanduva FC
0:1
Jan 31, 2024 Paulista A3
Catanduva FC vs Itapirense
3:0
Aug 6, 2022 Paulista A4
Itapirense vs Catanduva FC
2:2
Jul 1, 2022 Paulista A4
Catanduva FC vs Itapirense
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Catanduva FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Brito d. A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alan
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Itapirense Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Catanduva FC 42 / 100
Itapirense 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Catanduva FC Itapirense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Itapirense let in goals in 85% of their last 33 matches.

Catanduva FC found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (31 games).

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Catanduva FC has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Catanduva FC VS Itapirense
0.63 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Catanduva FC

(Home)
21 Mar
Catanduva FC
1 : 3
Paulista
15 Mar
Bandeirante
1 : 2
Catanduva FC
11 Mar
Catanduva FC
0 : 0
Desportivo
07 Mar
Catanduva FC
0 : 2
Uniao Sao Joao
04 Mar
XV de Jau
0 : 0
Catanduva FC
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Itapirense

(Away)
21 Mar
Itapirense
0 : 1
Rio Preto EC
14 Mar
Uniao Barbarense
1 : 0
Itapirense
11 Mar
Rio Branco SP
3 : 2
Itapirense
08 Mar
Itapirense
0 : 3
EC Sao Bernardo
04 Mar
Desportivo
1 : 2
Itapirense
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Portuguesa Santista15120326:936
2Marilia1595123:632
3Rio Preto EC1585224:1329
4XV de Jau1583416:1127
5Rio Claro1574419:1625
6Uniao Barbarense1566316:1424
7EC Sao Bernardo1565422:1523
8Paulista1565420:1323
9Uniao Sao Joao1564516:1522
10Catanduva FC1556416:1521
11Bandeirante1546515:1918
12Rio Branco SP1544713:2416
13Francana15311113:2210
14Itapirense15231014:269
15Desportivo151598:258
16Uniao Suzano15121210:285
Promotion - Paulista A3 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paulista A4 2027 (Main)