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Catanduvense vs Sao Carlos - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Paulista B
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Andre
41' Event
Dudu
65' Event
Sangiorgi V.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Sao Carlos in this Paulista B matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sao Carlos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Catanduvense
20%
Draws
80%
Sao Carlos
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sao Carlos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sao Carlos lately — more wins on the board than Catanduvense.
  • Win probability leans Sao Carlos's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Paulista B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Sao Carlos have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Catanduvense Clean Sheet 10%
Sao Carlos Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Catanduvense Sao Carlos
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 7 12
Draws 4 8
Losses 19 14
Goals Scored 0.9 1.32
Goals Conceded 3.13 1.12
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 3.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Paulista B
Sao Carlos vs Catanduvense
8:0
Apr 26, 2026 Paulista B
Catanduvense vs Sao Carlos
1:2
Feb 19, 2017 Paulista A3
Catanduvense vs Sao Carlos
0:3
Apr 24, 2016 Paulista A3
Catanduvense vs Sao Carlos
1:2
Apr 16, 2016 Paulista A3
Sao Carlos vs Catanduvense
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Catanduvense Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Sao Carlos Compare

Top Goalscorer Andre
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dudu
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.95
Avg xA / game 1.81

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Catanduvense 10 / 100
Sao Carlos 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Catanduvense Sao Carlos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sao Carlos Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Sao Carlos's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 34 matches.

Attacking prowess: Catanduvense scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Sao Carlos lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Catanduvense VS Sao Carlos
0.5 Goals Scored 2
4.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Catanduvense

(Home)
20 Jun
Independente SP
17 : 0
Catanduvense
14 Jun
Catanduvense
0 : 13
Matonense
07 Jun
Catanduvense
0 : 6
Mogi Mirim
30 May
Sao Carlos
8 : 0
Catanduvense
24 May
Catanduvense
1 : 5
Santacruzense
Page 1 of 6

Sao Carlos

(Away)
05 Jul
Paulinense
2 : 0
Sao Carlos
27 Jun
Sao Carlos
0 : 1
Paulinense
20 Jun
Santacruzense
1 : 1
Sao Carlos
13 Jun
Sao Carlos
2 : 0
Independente SP
07 Jun
Matonense
1 : 1
Sao Carlos
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jose Bonifacio EC 10 6 4 0 17:6 22
2 America SP 10 5 4 1 13:7 19
3 Assisense 10 3 5 2 17:15 14
4 Tupa 10 4 1 5 14:16 13
5 Riopretano 10 1 4 5 9:16 7
6 Santa Fe SP 10 2 0 8 10:20 6
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independente SP 10 8 0 2 37:7 24
2 Matonense 10 7 1 2 28:10 22
3 Sao Carlos 10 4 3 3 19:11 15
4 Santacruzense 10 4 2 4 19:13 14
5 Mogi Mirim 10 4 0 6 15:15 12
6 Catanduvense 10 0 0 10 4:66 0
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo SP 10 7 2 1 13:6 23
2 Paulinense 10 5 0 5 9:16 15
3 Audax-SP 10 5 1 4 15:9 13
4 Paulinia FU 10 3 1 6 11:14 10
5 Votoraty SP 10 2 1 7 12:19 7
6 Guarulhos 10 5 1 4 19:15 4
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Itaqua 10 8 1 1 21:6 25
2 Maua FC 10 4 4 2 20:15 16
3 Uniao Mogi 10 5 2 3 14:13 14
4 Manthiqueira 10 4 2 4 17:17 14
5 Mauaense 10 3 3 4 10:10 12
6 Barcelona SP 10 0 0 10 5:26 0
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)