Sport Picks
Match Events
21'
21'
Maiolo F.
35'
35'
Fella G.
46'
46'
Sub
Pelamatti A. In: Nunziata F.
Out: Pelamatti A.
AI Match Summary
Catania in this Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Catania.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
35%
37%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Cavese
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Medium Confidence
- Catania have won more games recently than Cavese.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Regular Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Catania here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 16%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Catania Clean Sheet 24%
Cavese Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Catania | Cavese |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 7 |
| Draws | 11 | 13 |
| Losses | 6 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 0.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.25 | 0.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 11, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Catania vs Cavese
2:0
Aug 30, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Cavese vs Catania
0:1
Apr 12, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Cavese vs Catania
0:1
Nov 30, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Catania vs Cavese
1:1
Mar 27, 2021 Serie C - Group C
Cavese vs Catania
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Catania Compare
Top Goalscorer Di Gennaro M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Caturano S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Cavese Compare
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Catania 33 / 100
Cavese 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Catania Cavese
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CAV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Catania scored in 77% of their last 30 games.
Cavese has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.
H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Catania stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Catania VS Cavese
1 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Catania
(Home) 27 May
Catania
2 : 1 Ascoli
24 May
Ascoli
4 : 0 Catania
20 May
Catania
3 : 3 Lecco
17 May
Lecco
0 : 0 Catania
26 Apr
Atalanta U23
1 : 1 Catania
Page 1 of 6
27 May
Catania
2 : 1 Ascoli
20 May
Catania
3 : 3 Lecco
19 Apr
Catania
1 : 1 Potenza
06 Apr
Catania
1 : 2 Picerno
23 Mar
Catania
1 : 1 Casarano
Page 1 of 3
Cavese
(Away) 06 Aug
Cavese
0 : 1 Juve Stabia
30 Jul
Cavese
1 : 0 Sarnese
26 Apr
Cavese
1 : 1 Cosenza
19 Apr
Siracusa
1 : 1 Cavese
13 Apr
Benevento
0 : 1 Cavese
Page 1 of 6
19 Apr
Siracusa
1 : 1 Cavese
13 Apr
Benevento
0 : 1 Cavese
08 Apr
Atalanta U23
1 : 1 Cavese
14 Mar
Potenza
2 : 2 Cavese
05 Mar
Crotone
2 : 0 Cavese
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Benevento | 38 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 74:28 | 82 |
| 2 | Catania | 38 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 54:25 | 70 |
| 3 | Salernitana | 38 | 20 | 9 | 9 | 50:42 | 69 |
| 4 | Cosenza | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 58:40 | 67 |
| 5 | Casertana | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 55:44 | 66 |
| 6 | Crotone | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 59:40 | 61 |
| 7 | Monopoli | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 39:41 | 56 |
| 8 | Casarano | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 56:57 | 56 |
| 9 | Audace Cerignola | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 50:54 | 54 |
| 10 | Potenza | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 54:56 | 49 |
| 11 | Atalanta U23 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 53:50 | 45 |
| 12 | Altamura | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 32:49 | 45 |
| 13 | Latina | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 35:44 | 42 |
| 14 | Cavese | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 36:42 | 42 |
| 15 | Picerno | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 43:55 | 40 |
| 16 | Sorrento | 38 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 39:55 | 39 |
| 17 | Giugliano | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 35:52 | 37 |
| 18 | Foggia | 38 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 28:60 | 27 |
| 19 | Siracusa | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 48:57 | 26 |
| 20 | Trapani | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47:54 | 24 |
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
