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Catania vs Monterosi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C 2023/2024 Stadio Angelo Massimino, Catania
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Rossi A.
45'
Cianci P.
46'
Sub
Rossi A. In: Vano M.
Out: Rossi A.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group C 2023/2024 game between Catania and Monterosi finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Catania
30%
Draws
31%
Monterosi
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Catania

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Catania carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Catania taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Catania Clean Sheet 68%
Monterosi Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Catania Monterosi
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 8
Draws 11 9
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.32 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Catania vs Monterosi
1:1
Oct 25, 2023 Serie C - Group C
Monterosi vs Catania
1:1
Mar 5, 2022 Serie C - Group C
Catania vs Monterosi
3:1
Oct 24, 2021 Serie C - Group C
Monterosi vs Catania
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Catania Compare

Top Goalscorer Kontek I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Monterosi Compare

Top Goalscorer Rossi A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Catania 50 / 100
Monterosi 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Catania Monterosi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Catania Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.25 goals per match.

Catania scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

Monterosi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Catania has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Catania VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Catania

(Home)
03 Oct
Catania
2 : 1
Crotone
27 Sept
Casertana
1 : 2
Catania
19 Sept
Catania
0 : 0
Barletta
15 Sept
Picerno
2 : 4
Catania
12 Sept
Catania
1 : 2
Scafatese
Page 1 of 7

Monterosi

(Away)
19 May
Potenza
1 : 1
Monterosi
12 May
Monterosi
0 : 1
Potenza
27 Apr
Monterosi
1 : 0
Foggia
21 Apr
Turris
0 : 0
Monterosi
13 Apr
Monterosi
3 : 1
Giugliano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Juve Stabia 38 22 13 3 57:24 79
2 Avellino 38 20 9 9 62:29 69
3 Benevento 38 18 12 8 45:33 66
4 Casertana 38 17 14 7 51:38 65
5 Taranto 38 20 9 9 46:31 65
6 Picerno 38 15 13 10 53:40 58
7 Audace Cerignola 38 12 17 9 54:46 53
8 Giugliano 38 15 8 15 44:47 53
9 Crotone 38 13 13 12 54:47 52
10 Latina 38 14 9 15 44:51 51
11 Foggia 38 13 9 16 40:44 48
12 Sorrento 38 13 9 16 39:47 48
13 Catania 38 12 9 17 39:38 45
14 ACR Messina 38 11 12 15 41:49 45
15 Turris 38 11 11 16 46:57 44
16 Potenza 38 10 13 15 38:47 43
17 Monopoli 38 10 12 16 41:51 42
18 Virtus Francavilla 38 8 11 19 30:50 35
19 Monterosi 38 8 11 19 43:62 35
20 Brindisi 38 7 8 23 28:64 25
Promotion - Serie B 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A 2023/2024 (Play Out)