Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Catania vs Taranto

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C 2024/2025 Stadio Angelo Massimino, Catania
Sat, Apr 19, 2025
VS
04:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Catania host Taranto in the Serie C - Group C 2024/2025. Catania go into this one as the clear favorite. Recent numbers: Catania at 1.28 goals for, 1.1 against; Taranto at 0.4 for, 2.95 against. Past meetings favor Catania slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 19, 2025, ending 0:0. The numbers (0.97 xG vs 1.00) point toward Catania. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Catania
15%
Draws
0%
Taranto
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Catania

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Catania have won more games recently than Taranto.
  • 0% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Catania Clean Sheet 20%
Taranto Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Catania Taranto
Matches Played 29 20
Wins 11 3
Draws 10 1
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 1.28 0.4
Goals Conceded 1.1 2.95
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Catania vs Taranto
0:0
Dec 8, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Taranto vs Catania
1:5
Feb 24, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Taranto vs Catania
1:0
Oct 22, 2023 Serie C - Group C
Catania vs Taranto
1:0
Apr 13, 2022 Serie C - Group C
Catania vs Taranto
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Catania 32 / 100
Taranto 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Catania Taranto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Taranto Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Taranto's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 20 matches.

Taranto lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Catania's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Catania VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Catania

(Home)
29 Aug
Monopoli
2 : 0
Catania
23 Aug
Catania
1 : 2
Inter U23
14 Aug
Parma
2 : 0
Catania
08 Aug
Vicenza
1 : 2
Catania
27 May
Catania
2 : 1
Ascoli
Page 1 of 6

Taranto

(Away)
21 Feb
Picerno
7 : 0
Taranto
14 Feb
Taranto
0 : 3
Foggia
08 Feb
Sorrento
6 : 0
Taranto
03 Feb
Taranto
0 : 6
Casertana
27 Jan
Altamura
5 : 1
Taranto
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Avellino 34 22 9 3 61:26 75
2 Audace Cerignola 34 19 10 5 50:32 67
3 Monopoli 34 15 12 7 36:25 57
4 Crotone 34 15 9 10 62:49 54
5 Catania 34 14 12 8 49:34 53
6 Benevento 34 13 13 8 51:34 52
7 Potenza 34 12 13 9 55:52 49
8 Picerno 34 10 18 6 39:27 48
9 Juventus U23 34 12 8 14 44:45 44
10 Giugliano 34 12 7 15 51:54 43
11 Trapani 34 11 8 15 42:42 41
12 Cavese 34 10 11 13 34:39 41
13 Altamura 34 9 10 15 35:47 37
14 Sorrento 34 9 8 17 26:49 35
15 Latina 34 9 7 18 25:56 34
16 Casertana 34 6 14 14 30:38 32
17 Foggia 34 7 10 17 34:51 31
18 ACR Messina 34 6 11 17 29:53 25
19 Turris 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
20 Taranto 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Out)