Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Catanzaro vs Empoli

Italy Italy

Serie B 2025/2026 Stadio Nicola Ceravolo, Catanzaro
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Elia S.
Assist: Curto M.
15' Event
Nasti M.
Assist: Magnino L.
17'
Yepes G.

AI Match Summary

Catanzaro in this Serie B 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Catanzaro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Catanzaro
30%
Draws
35%
Empoli
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Catanzaro have won more games recently than Empoli.
  • Model gives Catanzaro a 35% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie B 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Empoli have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Catanzaro Clean Sheet 20%
Empoli Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Catanzaro Empoli
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 6
Draws 7 11
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.86 1.18
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Serie B
Catanzaro vs Empoli
3:2
Nov 8, 2025 Serie B
Empoli vs Catanzaro
1:0
Aug 10, 2024 Coppa Italia
Empoli vs Catanzaro
4:1
May 2, 2005 Serie B
Catanzaro vs Empoli
2:3
Nov 26, 2004 Serie B
Empoli vs Catanzaro
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Catanzaro Compare

Top Goalscorer Pittarello F.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Cassandro T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Empoli Compare

Top Goalscorer Elia S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nasti M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Catanzaro 40 / 100
Empoli 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Catanzaro Empoli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Catanzaro scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Empoli has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Catanzaro has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Catanzaro VS Empoli
2 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Catanzaro

(Home)
05 Aug
Catanzaro
3 : 0
Giugliano
29 Jul
Catanzaro
3 : 1
Paradiso
29 May
Monza
0 : 2
Catanzaro
24 May
Catanzaro
0 : 2
Monza
20 May
Palermo
2 : 0
Catanzaro
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Empoli

(Away)
08 Aug
Livorno
1 : 1
Empoli
01 Aug
Empoli
1 : 1
Spezia
25 Jul
Empoli
1 : 0
Entella
08 May
Monza
2 : 2
Empoli
01 May
Empoli
1 : 0
Avellino
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Venezia 38 24 10 4 77:31 82
2 Frosinone 38 23 12 3 76:34 81
3 Monza 38 22 10 6 61:32 76
4 Palermo 38 20 12 6 61:33 72
5 Catanzaro 38 15 14 9 62:51 59
6 Modena 38 15 10 13 49:36 55
7 Juve Stabia 38 11 18 9 44:45 51
8 Avellino 38 13 10 15 43:55 49
9 Mantova 38 13 7 18 45:57 46
10 Padova 38 12 10 16 39:49 46
11 Cesena 38 12 10 16 45:56 46
12 Carrarese 38 10 14 14 47:52 44
13 Sampdoria 38 11 11 16 35:48 44
14 Entella 38 10 12 16 36:51 42
15 Empoli 38 9 14 15 47:54 41
16 Sudtirol 38 8 17 13 38:48 41
17 Bari 38 10 10 18 38:60 40
18 Reggiana 38 9 10 19 36:56 37
19 Spezia 38 8 11 19 43:59 35
20 Pescara 38 7 14 17 51:66 35
Promotion - Serie A (Main)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Out)