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Catanzaro vs Giugliano

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Pafundi S.
48' Event
Pittarello F.
78' Event
Reita F.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Catanzaro and Giugliano finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Catanzaro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Catanzaro
30%
Draws
28%
Giugliano
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Catanzaro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Catanzaro carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Catanzaro a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Catanzaro have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 83.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Catanzaro Clean Sheet 20%
Giugliano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Catanzaro Giugliano
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 7
Draws 7 7
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1.86 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.15
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 5, 2026 Club Friendly
Catanzaro vs Giugliano
3:0
Apr 2, 2023 Serie C - Group C
Giugliano vs Catanzaro
0:4
Nov 30, 2022 Serie C - Group C
Catanzaro vs Giugliano
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Catanzaro Compare

Top Goalscorer Pafundi S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pittarello F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Giugliano Compare

Avg xG / game 1.05
Avg xA / game 0.64

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Catanzaro 67 / 100
Giugliano 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Catanzaro Giugliano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Catanzaro scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.33 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Giugliano conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Catanzaro remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Catanzaro VS Giugliano
2 Goals Scored 0.67
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 67%
63% Over 2.5 17%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Catanzaro

(Home)
05 Aug
Catanzaro
3 : 0
Giugliano
29 Jul
Catanzaro
3 : 1
Paradiso
29 May
Monza
0 : 2
Catanzaro
24 May
Catanzaro
0 : 2
Monza
20 May
Palermo
2 : 0
Catanzaro
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Giugliano

(Away)
05 Aug
Catanzaro
3 : 0
Giugliano
26 Apr
Casertana
1 : 1
Giugliano
19 Apr
Giugliano
1 : 1
Benevento
12 Apr
Altamura
1 : 1
Giugliano
06 Apr
Giugliano
1 : 0
Crotone
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