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Catanzaro vs Giugliano

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Pafundi S.
48' Event
Pittarello F.
78' Event
Reita F.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Catanzaro and Giugliano finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Catanzaro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Catanzaro
15%
Draws
42%
Giugliano
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Catanzaro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Catanzaro carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Catanzaro a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Catanzaro have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Catanzaro Clean Sheet 16%
Giugliano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Catanzaro Giugliano
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 6
Draws 6 8
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.87 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 5, 2026 Club Friendly
Catanzaro vs Giugliano
3:0
Apr 2, 2023 Serie C - Group C
Giugliano vs Catanzaro
0:4
Nov 30, 2022 Serie C - Group C
Catanzaro vs Giugliano
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Catanzaro Compare

Top Goalscorer Pafundi S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pittarello F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Giugliano Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Catanzaro 41 / 100
Giugliano 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Catanzaro Giugliano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Catanzaro scored in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Giugliano has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.33 goals per match.

Away concern: Giugliano has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Catanzaro VS Giugliano
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Catanzaro

(Home)
19 Sept
Sampdoria
2 : 1
Catanzaro
12 Sept
Catanzaro
1 : 0
Carrarese
05 Sept
Sudtirol
2 : 0
Catanzaro
30 Aug
Pisa
2 : 1
Catanzaro
21 Aug
Vicenza
3 : 2
Catanzaro
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Giugliano

(Away)
19 Sept
Salernitana
1 : 0
Giugliano
15 Sept
Giugliano
5 : 2
Cosenza
11 Sept
Audace Cerignola
4 : 0
Giugliano
05 Sept
Giugliano
0 : 2
Sorrento
28 Aug
Casarano
4 : 3
Giugliano
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