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Catanzaro vs Mantova - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie B Stadio Nicola Ceravolo, Catanzaro
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Catanzaro host Mantova in the Serie B. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Catanzaro at 1.83 goals for, 1.4 against; Mantova at 1.9 for, 1.39 against. Head-to-head, Catanzaro have won 2 to Mantova's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Feb 14, 2026, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 1.50 vs 2.38, favoring Mantova. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Catanzaro
20%
Draws
58%
Mantova
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mantova

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Catanzaro haven't matched Mantova's recent run of results.
  • Mantova are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Catanzaro Clean Sheet 10%
Mantova Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Catanzaro Mantova
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 13 16
Draws 7 6
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.83 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Serie B
Catanzaro vs Mantova
2:0
Oct 29, 2025 Serie B
Mantova vs Catanzaro
1:3
May 13, 2025 Serie B
Mantova vs Catanzaro
0:0
Nov 23, 2024 Serie B
Catanzaro vs Mantova
2:2
Apr 23, 2006 Serie B
Catanzaro vs Mantova
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Catanzaro 26 / 100
Mantova 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Catanzaro Mantova

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mantova Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 4:6
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Catanzaro found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

Mantova's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Catanzaro stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Catanzaro VS Mantova
1.63 Goals Scored 3.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Catanzaro

(Home)
19 Sept
Sampdoria
2 : 1
Catanzaro
12 Sept
Catanzaro
1 : 0
Carrarese
05 Sept
Sudtirol
2 : 0
Catanzaro
30 Aug
Pisa
2 : 1
Catanzaro
21 Aug
Vicenza
3 : 2
Catanzaro
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Mantova

(Away)
20 Sept
Mantova
2 : 2
Pisa
13 Sept
Mantova
2 : 0
Sampdoria
06 Sept
Cesena
1 : 1
Mantova
03 Sept
Palermo
5 : 2
Mantova
30 Aug
Mantova
3 : 1
Empoli
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palermo 5 4 1 0 10:5 13
2 Sudtirol 5 3 2 0 9:3 11
3 Mantova 5 3 2 0 10:5 11
4 Modena 5 3 1 1 8:4 10
5 Ascoli 5 3 1 1 7:4 10
6 Padova 5 2 1 2 5:6 7
7 Benevento 5 2 1 2 6:5 7
8 Verona 5 2 1 2 10:7 7
9 Avellino 5 2 1 2 7:6 7
10 Cesena 5 1 4 0 7:6 7
11 Pisa 5 2 1 2 8:8 7
12 Arezzo 5 2 0 3 6:13 6
13 Empoli 5 2 0 3 4:6 6
14 Entella 5 1 2 2 7:6 5
15 Cremonese 5 1 2 2 5:7 5
16 Vicenza 5 1 2 2 7:10 5
17 Sampdoria 5 1 1 3 5:9 4
18 Catanzaro 5 1 0 4 5:9 3
19 Juve Stabia 5 1 2 2 4:7 1
20 Carrarese 5 0 1 4 2:6 1
Promotion - Serie A 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B (Play Out)