Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Catanzaro vs Monza

Italy Italy

Serie B 2025/2026 Stadio Nicola Ceravolo, Catanzaro
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Pontisso S.
8'
Cutrone P.
15'
D'Alessandro M.

AI Match Summary

The Serie B 2025/2026 game between Catanzaro and Monza finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Catanzaro
39%
Draws
31%
Monza
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Monza come out ahead of Catanzaro on wins alone.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Catanzaro Clean Sheet 68%
Monza Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Catanzaro Monza
Matches Played 32 33
Wins 16 20
Draws 7 7
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 1.88 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2026 Serie B
Monza vs Catanzaro
0:2
May 24, 2026 Serie B
Catanzaro vs Monza
0:2
Apr 6, 2026 Serie B
Catanzaro vs Monza
1:1
Oct 4, 2025 Serie B
Monza vs Catanzaro
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Catanzaro Compare

Top Goalscorer Pontisso S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Monza Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Catanzaro 41 / 100
Monza 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Catanzaro Monza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Catanzaro found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (32 games).

Defensive concern: Monza conceded in 61% of 33 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.25 goals when they meet.

Catanzaro has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Catanzaro VS Monza
1.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Catanzaro

(Home)
29 Jul
Catanzaro
3 : 1
Paradiso
29 May
Monza
0 : 2
Catanzaro
24 May
Catanzaro
0 : 2
Monza
20 May
Palermo
2 : 0
Catanzaro
17 May
Catanzaro
3 : 0
Palermo
Page 1 of 7

Monza

(Away)
30 Jul
Monza
1 : 3
Aris
24 Jul
Galatasaray
0 : 2
Monza
18 Jul
Monza
4 : 3
Pro Vercelli
29 May
Monza
0 : 2
Catanzaro
24 May
Catanzaro
0 : 2
Monza
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Venezia382410477:3182
2Frosinone382312376:3481
3Monza382210661:3276
4Palermo382012661:3372
5Catanzaro381514962:5159
6Modena3815101349:3655
7Juve Stabia381118944:4551
8Avellino3813101543:5549
9Mantova381371845:5746
10Padova3812101639:4946
11Cesena3812101645:5646
12Carrarese3810141447:5244
13Sampdoria3811111635:4844
14Entella3810121636:5142
15Empoli389141547:5441
16Sudtirol388171338:4841
17Bari3810101838:6040
18Reggiana389101936:5637
19Spezia388111943:5935
20Pescara387141751:6635
Promotion - Serie A (Main)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Out)