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Catanzaro vs Monza - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie B 2025/2026 Stadio Nicola Ceravolo, Catanzaro
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Match Events

31'
Sub
Ravanelli L. In: Delli Carri F.
Out: Ravanelli L.
45'
Colombo L.
46'
Sub
Colpani A. In: Hernani
Out: Colpani A.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-2, with Monza advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Catanzaro
20%
Draws
50%
Monza
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Monza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Monza carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Monza arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Monza, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Catanzaro Clean Sheet 13%
Monza Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Catanzaro Monza
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 13
Draws 6 8
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.89 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2026 Serie B
Monza vs Catanzaro
0:2
May 24, 2026 Serie B
Catanzaro vs Monza
0:2
Apr 6, 2026 Serie B
Catanzaro vs Monza
1:1
Oct 4, 2025 Serie B
Monza vs Catanzaro
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Catanzaro Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Monza Compare

Top Goalscorer Hernani
1 Goals
Assists Leader Caso G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Catanzaro 31 / 100
Monza 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Catanzaro Monza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Catanzaro scored in 89% of their last 28 games.

Monza has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.

Catanzaro has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Catanzaro VS Monza
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Catanzaro

(Home)
19 Sept
Sampdoria
2 : 1
Catanzaro
12 Sept
Catanzaro
1 : 0
Carrarese
05 Sept
Sudtirol
2 : 0
Catanzaro
30 Aug
Pisa
2 : 1
Catanzaro
21 Aug
Vicenza
3 : 2
Catanzaro
Page 1 of 6

Monza

(Away)
03 Oct
Brest
2 : 2
Monza
26 Sept
Monza
2 : 3
Cremonese
18 Sept
Monza
2 : 1
Sassuolo
13 Sept
Lecce
3 : 2
Monza
06 Sept
Parma
1 : 1
Monza
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Monza -
TBD -
Modena 0
Juve Stabia 1
Palermo -
TBD -
Catanzaro 3
Avellino 0
Semi-finals
Monza 4
Juve Stabia 3
Palermo 2
Catanzaro 3
Final
Monza 2
Catanzaro 2