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Catanzaro vs Monza

Italy Italy

Serie B 2025/2026 Stadio Nicola Ceravolo, Catanzaro
Our Tip

Match Events

31'
Sub
Ravanelli L. In: Delli Carri F.
Out: Ravanelli L.
45'
Colombo L.
46'
Sub
Colpani A. In: Hernani
Out: Colpani A.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-2, with Monza advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Catanzaro
15%
Draws
42%
Monza
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Catanzaro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / High Confidence
  • Monza carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Catanzaro's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Monza arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Monza, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Catanzaro Clean Sheet 68%
Monza Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Catanzaro Monza
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 18
Draws 7 7
Losses 8 5
Goals Scored 2 2
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2026 Serie B
Monza vs Catanzaro
0:2
May 24, 2026 Serie B
Catanzaro vs Monza
0:2
Apr 6, 2026 Serie B
Catanzaro vs Monza
1:1
Oct 4, 2025 Serie B
Monza vs Catanzaro
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Catanzaro Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Monza Compare

Top Goalscorer Hernani
1 Goals
Assists Leader Caso G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Catanzaro 59 / 100
Monza 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Catanzaro Monza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Catanzaro scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Monza has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.

Catanzaro has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Catanzaro VS Monza
2 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Catanzaro

(Home)
05 Aug
Catanzaro
3 : 0
Giugliano
29 Jul
Catanzaro
3 : 1
Paradiso
29 May
Monza
0 : 2
Catanzaro
24 May
Catanzaro
0 : 2
Monza
20 May
Palermo
2 : 0
Catanzaro
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Monza

(Away)
04 Aug
Monza
4 : 2
AC Milan U23
30 Jul
Monza
1 : 3
Aris
24 Jul
Galatasaray
0 : 2
Monza
18 Jul
Monza
4 : 3
Pro Vercelli
29 May
Monza
0 : 2
Catanzaro
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Monza -
TBD -
Modena 0
Juve Stabia 1
Palermo -
TBD -
Catanzaro 3
Avellino 0
Semi-finals
Monza 4
Juve Stabia 3
Palermo 2
Catanzaro 3
Final
Monza 2
Catanzaro 2