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Catanzaro vs Palermo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie B 2025/2026 Stadio Nicola Ceravolo, Catanzaro
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Iemmello P.
Assist: Cassandro T.
15' Event
Iemmello P.
Assist: Brighenti N.
32'
Ranocchia F.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-0, with Catanzaro advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Catanzaro
15%
Draws
69%
Palermo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Palermo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Catanzaro haven't matched Palermo's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Palermo's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Palermo arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Catanzaro, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Catanzaro Clean Sheet 10%
Palermo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Catanzaro Palermo
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 17
Draws 6 6
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.89 2
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2026 Serie B
Palermo vs Catanzaro
2:0
May 17, 2026 Serie B
Catanzaro vs Palermo
3:0
May 1, 2026 Serie B
Palermo vs Catanzaro
3:2
Oct 25, 2025 Serie B
Catanzaro vs Palermo
1:0
Apr 27, 2025 Serie B
Catanzaro vs Palermo
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Catanzaro Compare

Top Goalscorer Iemmello P.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Liberali M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Palermo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Catanzaro 10 / 100
Palermo 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Catanzaro Palermo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Palermo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Catanzaro found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (28 games).

Palermo let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Catanzaro went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Catanzaro VS Palermo
1.63 Goals Scored 2.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Catanzaro

(Home)
19 Sept
Sampdoria
2 : 1
Catanzaro
12 Sept
Catanzaro
1 : 0
Carrarese
05 Sept
Sudtirol
2 : 0
Catanzaro
30 Aug
Pisa
2 : 1
Catanzaro
21 Aug
Vicenza
3 : 2
Catanzaro
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Palermo

(Away)
19 Sept
Palermo
2 : 1
Padova
13 Sept
Avellino
1 : 1
Palermo
07 Sept
Palermo
3 : 1
Sampdoria
03 Sept
Palermo
5 : 2
Mantova
30 Aug
Arezzo
2 : 3
Palermo
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Monza -
TBD -
Modena 0
Juve Stabia 1
Palermo -
TBD -
Catanzaro 3
Avellino 0
Semi-finals
Monza 4
Juve Stabia 3
Palermo 2
Catanzaro 3
Final
Monza 2
Catanzaro 2