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Catanzaro vs Palermo

Italy Italy

Serie B 2025/2026 Stadio Nicola Ceravolo, Catanzaro
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Iemmello P.
Assist: Cassandro T.
15' Event
Iemmello P.
Assist: Brighenti N.
32'
Ranocchia F.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-0, with Catanzaro advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Catanzaro
6%
Draws
90%
Palermo
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Palermo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Catanzaro haven't matched Palermo's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Palermo's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Palermo arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Catanzaro, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Catanzaro Clean Sheet 11%
Palermo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Catanzaro Palermo
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 16
Draws 7 9
Losses 8 5
Goals Scored 2.13 2
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2026 Serie B
Palermo vs Catanzaro
2:0
May 17, 2026 Serie B
Catanzaro vs Palermo
3:0
May 1, 2026 Serie B
Palermo vs Catanzaro
3:2
Oct 25, 2025 Serie B
Catanzaro vs Palermo
1:0
Apr 27, 2025 Serie B
Catanzaro vs Palermo
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Catanzaro Compare

Top Goalscorer Iemmello P.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Liberali M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Palermo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Catanzaro 10 / 100
Palermo 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Catanzaro Palermo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Catanzaro found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Catanzaro stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Palermo let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Catanzaro VS Palermo
2.13 Goals Scored 2
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Catanzaro

(Home)
29 Jul
Catanzaro
3 : 1
Paradiso
29 May
Monza
0 : 2
Catanzaro
24 May
Catanzaro
0 : 2
Monza
20 May
Palermo
2 : 0
Catanzaro
17 May
Catanzaro
3 : 0
Palermo
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Palermo

(Away)
29 Jul
Palermo
1 : 1
Iraklis FC
25 Jul
Palermo
2 : 2
Nurnberg
22 Jul
Palermo
7 : 0
Paradiso
18 Jul
Ingolstadt
1 : 0
Palermo
15 Jul
Palermo
8 : 0
FC Gherdeina
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Monza-
TBD-
Modena0
Juve Stabia1
Palermo-
TBD-
Catanzaro3
Avellino0
Semi-finals
Monza4
Juve Stabia3
Palermo2
Catanzaro3
Final
Monza2
Catanzaro2