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Catanzaro vs Reggiana

Italy Italy

Serie B 2025/2026 Stadio Nicola Ceravolo, Catanzaro
Our Tip

Match Events

18'
Sub
Cisse A. In: Nuamah P.
Out: Cisse A.
29' Event
Liberali M.
36'
Bozzolan A.

AI Match Summary

The Serie B 2025/2026 game between Catanzaro and Reggiana finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Catanzaro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Catanzaro
15%
Draws
65%
Reggiana
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Reggiana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Catanzaro carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 65% — that's where the model lands on Reggiana taking it.
  • Regular Serie B 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Catanzaro Clean Sheet 14%
Reggiana Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Catanzaro Reggiana
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 8
Draws 6 7
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.87 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Serie B
Catanzaro vs Reggiana
2:0
Sep 20, 2025 Serie B
Reggiana vs Catanzaro
2:2
Mar 2, 2025 Serie B
Catanzaro vs Reggiana
1:1
Nov 10, 2024 Serie B
Reggiana vs Catanzaro
2:2
Mar 9, 2024 Serie B
Catanzaro vs Reggiana
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Catanzaro Compare

Top Goalscorer Liberali M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader D'Alessandro M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Reggiana Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Catanzaro 10 / 100
Reggiana 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Catanzaro Reggiana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Reggiana Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Catanzaro scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

Reggiana let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Catanzaro has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Catanzaro VS Reggiana
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Catanzaro

(Home)
19 Sept
Sampdoria
2 : 1
Catanzaro
12 Sept
Catanzaro
1 : 0
Carrarese
05 Sept
Sudtirol
2 : 0
Catanzaro
30 Aug
Pisa
2 : 1
Catanzaro
21 Aug
Vicenza
3 : 2
Catanzaro
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Reggiana

(Away)
27 Sept
Perugia
1 : 0
Reggiana
20 Sept
Reggiana
1 : 0
Latina
16 Sept
Vis Pesaro
1 : 4
Reggiana
12 Sept
Guidonia 1937
1 : 1
Reggiana
06 Sept
Reggiana
3 : 1
Vado
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Venezia 38 24 10 4 77:31 82
2 Frosinone 38 23 12 3 76:34 81
3 Monza 38 22 10 6 61:32 76
4 Palermo 38 20 12 6 61:33 72
5 Catanzaro 38 15 14 9 62:51 59
6 Modena 38 15 10 13 49:36 55
7 Juve Stabia 38 11 18 9 44:45 51
8 Avellino 38 13 10 15 43:55 49
9 Mantova 38 13 7 18 45:57 46
10 Padova 38 12 10 16 39:49 46
11 Cesena 38 12 10 16 45:56 46
12 Carrarese 38 10 14 14 47:52 44
13 Sampdoria 38 11 11 16 35:48 44
14 Entella 38 10 12 16 36:51 42
15 Empoli 38 9 14 15 47:54 41
16 Sudtirol 38 8 17 13 38:48 41
17 Bari 38 10 10 18 38:60 40
18 Reggiana 38 9 10 19 36:56 37
19 Spezia 38 8 11 19 43:59 35
20 Pescara 38 7 14 17 51:66 35
Promotion - Serie A (Main)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Out)