Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 6 2015/2016

Crevillente

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Risks Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Catarroja CF play Crevillente in the Tercera Division - Group 6 2015/2016. It looks like a close match. Recently, Catarroja CF averaged 0.87 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Crevillente averaged 1.32 goals scored and 1.45 conceded. In past meetings, Catarroja CF won 0, Crevillente won 5, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jan 15, 2017 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.42 for Catarroja CF and 1.24 for Crevillente. This points to a Crevillente double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%

Catarroja CF

16%

Draws

47%

Crevillente

Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Crevillente

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence

Catarroja CF picked up more points recently compared to Crevillente.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.42 vs 1.24 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 70%

Over 2.5 Goals 45%

Over 3.5 Goals 27%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%

Catarroja CF Clean Sheet 19%

Crevillente Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 63%

Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Catarroja CF	Crevillente
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	9	10
Draws	7	7
Losses	14	14
Goals Scored	0.87	1.32
Goals Conceded	1.2	1.45

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 15, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 6

Crevillente vs Catarroja CF

Possession: 52% - 43% Cards: 3 - 3

1:0

Sep 3, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 6

Catarroja CF vs Crevillente

Possession: 53% - 59% Cards: 4 - 3

0:2

Feb 6, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 6

Catarroja CF vs Crevillente

Possession: 41% - 43% Cards: 2 - 0

0:2

Sep 16, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 6

Crevillente vs Catarroja CF

Possession: 55% - 56% Cards: 3 - 3

2:0

Mar 31, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 6

Catarroja CF vs Crevillente

Possession: 42% - 53% Cards: 1 - 1

0:5

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Catarroja CF 37 / 100

Crevillente 44 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Catarroja CF Crevillente

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Crevillente or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +27.6%

3.45

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +15.2%

2.56

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Catarroja CF attacking → ← attacking Crevillente

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Catarroja CF scored in 43% of their last 30 games.

Crevillente let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Catarroja CF went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Crevillente lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate

Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

34 Points in last 5 37

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.38

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Atletico Saguntino	38	25	7	6	62:25	82
2	Ontinyent	38	23	5	10	62:39	74
3	Castellon	38	19	10	9	60:41	67
4	Ilicitano	38	19	10	9	64:39	67
5	Villarreal C	38	15	16	7	64:43	61
6	Alzira	38	18	6	14	57:50	60
7	Orihuela	38	16	8	14	50:46	56
8	Novelda CF	38	15	10	13	51:39	55
9	Rayo Ibense	38	15	10	13	38:40	55
10	Torre Levante	38	13	14	11	43:35	53
11	Crevillente	38	13	12	13	41:37	51
12	Torrevieja	38	14	9	15	46:47	51
13	Muro	38	13	10	15	44:51	49
14	Paterna	38	10	12	16	38:53	42
15	Catarroja CF	38	13	3	22	42:61	42
16	Borriol	38	10	10	18	36:51	40
17	CD Bunol	38	9	12	17	22:43	39
18	Jove	38	8	14	16	34:48	38
19	UD Beniganim	38	7	12	19	41:66	33
20	Acero	38	5	10	23	28:69	25