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Catarroja CF vs Novelda CF - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera Division - Group 6 2015/2016
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 6 2015/2016 game between Catarroja CF and Novelda CF finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Novelda CF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Catarroja CF
15%
Draws
26%
Novelda CF
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Catarroja CF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Novelda CF carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Catarroja CF a 59% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 6 2015/2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Novelda CF have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Catarroja CF Clean Sheet 20%
Novelda CF Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Catarroja CF Novelda CF
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 9 11
Draws 7 6
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 0.87 1.12
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 12, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Catarroja CF vs Novelda CF
0:2
Oct 23, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Novelda CF vs Catarroja CF
2:1
Apr 17, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Catarroja CF vs Novelda CF
0:2
Nov 22, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Novelda CF vs Catarroja CF
4:1
Apr 7, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Novelda CF vs Catarroja CF
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Catarroja CF 67 / 100
Novelda CF 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Catarroja CF Novelda CF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Catarroja CF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Novelda CF conceded in 85% of 33 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Catarroja CF stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Novelda CF registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Novelda CF
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Catarroja CF

(Home)
13 May
Ilicitano
2 : 3
Catarroja CF
07 May
Catarroja CF
2 : 1
Torre Levante
30 Apr
Silla CF
3 : 0
Catarroja CF
22 Apr
Catarroja CF
3 : 0
Torrevieja
16 Apr
Alzira
1 : 0
Catarroja CF
Page 1 of 6

Novelda CF

(Away)
06 Jun
Novelda CF
1 : 1
Acero
30 May
Paterna
2 : 0
Novelda CF
23 May
Novelda CF
2 : 1
Vilamarxant
16 May
Benicarlo
1 : 0
Novelda CF
09 May
Novelda CF
1 : 3
Torrent
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Saguntino 38 25 7 6 62:25 82
2 Ontinyent 38 23 5 10 62:39 74
3 Castellon 38 19 10 9 60:41 67
4 Ilicitano 38 19 10 9 64:39 67
5 Villarreal C 38 15 16 7 64:43 61
6 Alzira 38 18 6 14 57:50 60
7 Orihuela 38 16 8 14 50:46 56
8 Novelda CF 38 15 10 13 51:39 55
9 Rayo Ibense 38 15 10 13 38:40 55
10 Torre Levante 38 13 14 11 43:35 53
11 Crevillente 38 13 12 13 41:37 51
12 Torrevieja 38 14 9 15 46:47 51
13 Muro 38 13 10 15 44:51 49
14 Paterna 38 10 12 16 38:53 42
15 Catarroja CF 38 13 3 22 42:61 42
16 Borriol 38 10 10 18 36:51 40
17 CD Bunol 38 9 12 17 22:43 39
18 Espanol de San Vicente 38 8 14 16 34:48 38
19 UD Beniganim 38 7 12 19 41:66 33
20 Acero 38 5 10 23 28:69 25
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2015/2016 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2015/2016 (Main)