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Catda vs Buwambo United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uganda Uganda

Big League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Big League game between Catda and Buwambo United finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Catda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Catda
20%
Draws
15%
Buwambo United
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Catda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Catda carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Catda are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Big League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 8.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 4%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Catda Clean Sheet 20%
Buwambo United Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Catda Buwambo United
Matches Played 30 5
Wins 12 0
Draws 5 2
Losses 13 3
Goals Scored 0.93 0.4
Goals Conceded 1.03 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.21 0.60
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 25, 2026 Big League
Catda vs Buwambo United
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Catda 85 / 100
Buwambo United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Catda Buwambo United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Catda Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Buwambo United has conceded goals in 100% of their last 5 outings.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Catda scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Recent resilience: Catda stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Catda VS Buwambo United
0.75 Goals Scored 0.33
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.67
50% Over 1.5 67%
13% Over 2.5 33%
0% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Catda

(Home)
01 Nov
Calvary
1 : 0
Catda
25 Oct
Catda
4 : 0
Buwambo United
18 Oct
Amus College FC
0 : 1
Catda
11 Oct
Catda
1 : 0
Young Elephant Academy
04 Oct
SC Volcanoes
1 : 0
Catda
Page 1 of 6

Buwambo United

(Away)
01 Nov
Buwambo United
1 : 1
Iganga United
25 Oct
Catda
4 : 0
Buwambo United
18 Oct
Buwambo United
0 : 1
Calvary
04 Oct
Amus College FC
3 : 0
Buwambo United
27 Sept
Buwambo United
1 : 1
Young Elephant Academy

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paidha Black Angels 6 5 0 1 8:5 15
2 Kiyinda Boys 6 4 1 1 9:3 13
3 Catda 6 4 0 2 8:2 12
4 SC Volcanoes 6 3 2 1 7:3 11
5 Young Elephant Academy 7 3 2 2 10:8 11
6 Calvary 6 3 2 1 5:3 11
7 Amus College FC 5 3 1 1 9:1 10
8 Rwenzori Lions 7 2 2 3 6:6 8
9 Pakwach Young Stars 5 1 1 3 4:6 4
10 Iganga United 7 1 1 5 3:7 4
11 Onduparaka 5 1 1 3 4:10 4
12 Kaaro Karungi 7 0 3 4 2:13 3
13 Buwambo United 5 0 2 3 2:10 2
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)