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Catda vs Iganga United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uganda Uganda

Big League
Sun, Nov 15, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Catda host Iganga United in the Big League. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Catda have averaged 0.93 scored and 1.03 conceded recently, against Iganga United's 0.9 scored and 1.21 conceded. Past meetings favor Catda slightly — 1-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 1, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.25 - 0.81) back Catda to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

77%
Catda
15%
Draws
8%
Iganga United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Catda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / Very High Confidence
  • Catda carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Catda a 77% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Catda Clean Sheet 20%
Iganga United Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Catda Iganga United
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 8
Draws 5 5
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 0.93 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 1, 2026 Big League
Iganga United vs Catda
0:0
Nov 8, 2025 Big League
Catda vs Iganga United
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Catda 85 / 100
Iganga United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Catda Iganga United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Catda Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Catda scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Iganga United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Catda has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Iganga United's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Catda VS Iganga United
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
0.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
38% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Catda

(Home)
01 Nov
Calvary
1 : 0
Catda
25 Oct
Catda
4 : 0
Buwambo United
18 Oct
Amus College FC
0 : 1
Catda
11 Oct
Catda
1 : 0
Young Elephant Academy
04 Oct
SC Volcanoes
1 : 0
Catda
Page 1 of 6

Iganga United

(Away)
01 Nov
Buwambo United
1 : 1
Iganga United
26 Oct
Iganga United
0 : 1
Amus College FC
18 Oct
Young Elephant Academy
2 : 1
Iganga United
15 Oct
Paidha Black Angels
1 : 0
Iganga United
11 Oct
Iganga United
0 : 1
SC Volcanoes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paidha Black Angels 6 5 0 1 8:5 15
2 Kiyinda Boys 6 4 1 1 9:3 13
3 Catda 6 4 0 2 8:2 12
4 SC Volcanoes 6 3 2 1 7:3 11
5 Young Elephant Academy 7 3 2 2 10:8 11
6 Calvary 6 3 2 1 5:3 11
7 Amus College FC 5 3 1 1 9:1 10
8 Rwenzori Lions 7 2 2 3 6:6 8
9 Pakwach Young Stars 5 1 1 3 4:6 4
10 Iganga United 7 1 1 5 3:7 4
11 Onduparaka 5 1 1 3 4:10 4
12 Kaaro Karungi 7 0 3 4 2:13 3
13 Buwambo United 5 0 2 3 2:10 2
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)