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Catda vs Kiyinda Boys

Uganda Uganda

Big League 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The Big League 2025/2026 game between Catda and Kiyinda Boys finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Catda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Catda
20%
Draws
19%
Kiyinda Boys
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Catda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kiyinda Boys come out ahead of Catda on wins alone.
  • 61% — that's where the model lands on Catda taking it.
  • Regular Big League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Catda Clean Sheet 20%
Kiyinda Boys Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Catda Kiyinda Boys
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 13
Draws 9 5
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 0.83 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Big League
Catda vs Kiyinda Boys
1:0
Dec 21, 2025 Big League
Kiyinda Boys vs Catda
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Catda 85 / 100
Kiyinda Boys 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Catda Kiyinda Boys

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Catda Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Catda went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Kiyinda Boys's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Kiyinda Boys's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Catda VS Kiyinda Boys
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
38% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Catda

(Home)
27 Sept
Catda
2 : 0
Rwenzori Lions
06 Jun
Kigezi HomeBoyz
0 : 1
Catda
23 May
Catda
1 : 0
Onduparaka
17 May
Nebbi Central
1 : 1
Catda
09 May
Catda
1 : 0
Kiyinda Boys
Page 1 of 6

Kiyinda Boys

(Away)
27 Sept
Kiyinda Boys
3 : 1
Onduparaka
06 Jun
Kiyinda Boys
0 : 3
Ntugasaze
24 May
Kaaro Karungi
1 : 0
Kiyinda Boys
17 May
Kiyinda Boys
1 : 1
Kataka
09 May
Catda
1 : 0
Kiyinda Boys
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Blacks Power 30 16 7 7 35:18 55
2 Ntugasaze 30 14 11 5 42:22 53
3 Kataka 30 16 3 11 40:26 51
4 Kigezi HomeBoyz 30 14 9 7 36:22 51
5 Paidha Black Angels 30 15 7 8 33:23 50
6 Bunyaruguru 30 12 7 11 31:25 43
7 Young Elephant 30 12 6 12 44:40 42
8 Kiyinda Boys 30 12 6 12 40:31 40
9 Iganga United 30 11 5 14 30:33 38
10 Catda 30 9 10 11 24:32 37
11 Kaaro Karungi 30 10 8 12 26:30 36
12 Onduparaka 30 9 9 12 24:32 36
13 Nebbi Central 30 9 9 12 35:42 34
14 Bright Stars 30 7 11 12 25:31 32
15 Wakiso Giants 30 8 7 15 31:48 31
16 Mbale Heroes 30 6 5 19 14:67 17
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