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Catuense U20 vs Barcelona FC U20

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Baiano U20
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Catuense U20 play Barcelona FC U20 in the Baiano U20. Barcelona FC U20 are favorites here. Recently, Catuense U20 averaged 1.27 goals scored and 2.77 conceded. Barcelona FC U20 averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.27 conceded. In past meetings, Catuense U20 won 0, Barcelona FC U20 won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 9, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for Catuense U20 and 2.25 for Barcelona FC U20. This points to a Barcelona FC U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Catuense U20
15%
Draws
58%
Barcelona FC U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Barcelona FC U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

84% / High Confidence
  • Catuense U20 picked up more points recently compared to Barcelona FC U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.06 vs 2.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 66%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 66%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%
Catuense U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Barcelona FC U20 Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 71%
Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Catuense U20 Barcelona FC U20
Matches Played 26 33
Wins 7 15
Draws 0 6
Losses 19 12
Goals Scored 1.27 1.33
Goals Conceded 2.77 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.88 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Baiano U20
Barcelona FC U20 vs Catuense U20
2:1
Mar 22, 2026 Baiano U20
Catuense U20 vs Barcelona FC U20
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Catuense U20 26 / 100
Barcelona FC U20 55 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Catuense U20 Barcelona FC U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Barcelona FC U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Barcelona FC U20 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +42%
5.26
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.2%
1.67
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Catuense U20 attacking → ← attacking Barcelona FC U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Catuense U20 scored in 73% of their last 26 games.

Barcelona FC U20 let in goals in 70% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Catuense U20 went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Barcelona FC U20 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

21 Points in last 5 51
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.63
3.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Bahia U2014121162:837
2Galicia U201491424:1428
3Camacariense U201490537:2127
4SSA U201462629:1520
5Jacobina U201462618:1820
6Juazeirense U201453616:2518
7Feirense U2014301111:359
8Camacari U201411126:674
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Vitoria U2014121149:1437
2Fluminense de Feira U201483330:1827
3Jacuipense U201473424:1524
4Estrela De Marco U201464418:1622
5Alagoinhas U201463526:2321
6Bahia de Feira U201441916:2513
7Redencao U2014311017:3610
8Leonico U201412119:425
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Porto-BA U2014103131:1733
2Conquista FC U201494123:731
3Vitoria da Conquista U201464425:1122
4Barcelona FC U201453616:1618
5Grapiuna U201452718:1617
6Serrano U201451820:3016
7Jequie U201443718:2215
8Catuense U2014201216:486