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Catuense vs Galicia

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2 2010
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AI Match Summary

The Baiano 2 2010 game between Catuense and Galicia finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Galicia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Catuense
15%
Draws
57%
Galicia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Galicia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Galicia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Galicia a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Baiano 2 2010 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Catuense Clean Sheet 12%
Galicia Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Catuense Galicia
Matches Played 34 44
Wins 7 17
Draws 9 14
Losses 18 13
Goals Scored 1.09 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.71 0.91
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2015 Baiano
Galicia vs Catuense
1:0
Mar 16, 2014 Baiano
Galicia vs Catuense
3:0
Feb 19, 2014 Baiano
Catuense vs Galicia
0:0
Jan 12, 2014 Baiano
Galicia vs Catuense
1:2
Jul 27, 2013 Baiano 2
Galicia vs Catuense
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Catuense 27 / 100
Galicia 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Catuense Galicia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Galicia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Galicia lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Catuense scored in 59% of their last 34 outings.

Galicia has conceded goals in 57% of their last 44 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Galicia
0 Goals Scored 2.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Catuense

(Home)
11 Sept
EC Ypiranga
4 : 1
Catuense
07 Sept
Catuense
5 : 3
Juazeiro
03 Sept
Alagoinhas
1 : 0
Catuense
27 Aug
Atlantico EC
5 : 1
Catuense
20 Aug
Teixeira de Freitas
1 : 0
Catuense
Page 1 of 7

Galicia

(Away)
22 Feb
Vitoria
3 : 0
Galicia
12 Feb
Galicia
2 : 1
Jequie
07 Feb
Porto-BA
1 : 0
Galicia
04 Feb
Galicia
1 : 2
Bahia de Feira
27 Jan
Galicia
1 : 0
Alagoinhas
Page 1 of 9

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Juazeirense 8 4 3 1 17:8 15
2 Camacariense 8 4 2 2 9:6 14
3 Catuense 8 3 2 3 10:8 11
4 Galicia 8 3 2 3 11:14 11
5 EC Ypiranga 8 1 1 6 8:19 4
Promotion - Baiano 2 2010 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Serrano 8 5 2 1 13:6 17
2 Juazeiro 8 5 1 2 16:12 16
3 Doce Mel 8 4 1 3 11:7 13
4 Esporte Clube Pocoes 8 1 2 5 11:19 5
5 Guanambi AC 8 0 4 4 6:13 4
Promotion - Baiano 2 2010 (Play Offs)