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Catuense vs Ipitanga - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Baiano 2 2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ipitanga in this Baiano 2 2013 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ipitanga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Catuense
15%
Draws
0%
Ipitanga
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Catuense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Catuense have won more games recently than Ipitanga.
  • Catuense are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Baiano 2 2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Catuense Clean Sheet 20%
Ipitanga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Catuense Ipitanga
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 8 3
Draws 9 3
Losses 17 24
Goals Scored 1.12 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.68 2.8
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2013 Baiano 2
Catuense vs Ipitanga
1:2
May 1, 2013 Baiano 2
Ipitanga vs Catuense
1:2
Mar 2, 2007 Baiano
Catuense vs Ipitanga
1:1
Feb 24, 2007 Baiano
Ipitanga vs Catuense
1:4
Jan 31, 2006 Baiano
Ipitanga vs Catuense
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Catuense 85 / 100
Ipitanga 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Catuense Ipitanga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Catuense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ipitanga's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Away concern: Ipitanga has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Catuense's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Catuense VS Ipitanga
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 4
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Catuense

(Home)
11 Sept
EC Ypiranga
4 : 1
Catuense
07 Sept
Catuense
5 : 3
Juazeiro
03 Sept
Alagoinhas
1 : 0
Catuense
27 Aug
Atlantico EC
5 : 1
Catuense
20 Aug
Teixeira de Freitas
1 : 0
Catuense
Page 1 of 7

Ipitanga

(Away)
10 May
Itabuna
3 : 0
Ipitanga
07 May
Ipitanga
0 : 5
Colo Colo
04 May
CE Flamengo
6 : 0
Ipitanga
27 Apr
Jequie
3 : 0
Ipitanga
13 Apr
EC Ypiranga
6 : 0
Ipitanga
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Galicia 8 4 1 3 10:9 13
2 Catuense 8 4 1 3 9:8 13
3 Camacari 8 4 1 3 10:12 13
4 EC Ypiranga 8 3 2 3 13:7 11
5 Ipitanga 8 2 1 5 7:13 7
Promotion - Baiano 2 2013 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Itabuna 8 5 0 3 11:5 15
2 CE Flamengo 8 4 2 2 13:9 14
3 Colo Colo 8 4 1 3 11:8 13
4 Jequie 8 2 3 3 9:13 9
5 AD Astro 8 1 2 5 5:14 5
Promotion - Baiano 2 2013 (Play Offs)