Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Catuense vs Serrano

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2 2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Serrano in this Baiano 2 2010 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Catuense
15%
Draws
49%
Serrano
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Serrano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Serrano at 1.1 per game, Catuense at 1.08.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Serrano, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Catuense Clean Sheet 20%
Serrano Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Catuense Serrano
Matches Played 36 31
Wins 8 8
Draws 9 6
Losses 19 17
Goals Scored 1.08 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.84
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2015 Baiano
Catuense vs Serrano
3:1
Feb 5, 2014 Baiano
Serrano vs Catuense
2:1
May 30, 2010 Baiano 2
Serrano vs Catuense
1:1
May 23, 2010 Baiano 2
Catuense vs Serrano
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Catuense 36 / 100
Serrano 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Catuense Serrano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Serrano Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Serrano has conceded goals in 84% of their last 31 outings.

Attacking prowess: Catuense scored in 61% of their last 36 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Difficult form: Serrano registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Catuense VS Serrano
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Catuense

(Home)
11 Sept
EC Ypiranga
4 : 1
Catuense
07 Sept
Catuense
5 : 3
Juazeiro
03 Sept
Alagoinhas
1 : 0
Catuense
27 Aug
Atlantico EC
5 : 1
Catuense
20 Aug
Teixeira de Freitas
1 : 0
Catuense
Page 1 of 8

Serrano

(Away)
13 Sept
Central SC
3 : 0
Serrano
06 Sept
Serrano
3 : 1
Treze PB
30 Aug
Estanciano EC
3 : 1
Serrano
16 Aug
Serrano
0 : 1
Goianesia
02 Aug
Goianesia
0 : 0
Serrano
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Juazeiro 6
Camacariense 2
Catuense 2
Serrano 3
Final
Juazeiro 4
Serrano 2