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Caucaia U20 vs Ceara U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Cearense U20 2025 Estádio Municipal Raimundo de Oliveira, Itambe
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Levi J.
45' Event
Iarlen
Own Goal
54'
Caio

AI Match Summary

Caucaia U20 in this Cearense U20 2025 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Caucaia U20
20%
Draws
61%
Ceara U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ceara U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Ceara U20 have won more games recently than Caucaia U20.
  • 61% — that's where the model lands on Ceara U20 taking it.
  • Ceara U20 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Caucaia U20, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Caucaia U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Ceara U20 Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caucaia U20 Ceara U20
Matches Played 26 43
Wins 9 30
Draws 2 6
Losses 15 7
Goals Scored 1.08 2.37
Goals Conceded 1.54 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 24, 2025 Cearense U20
Ceara U20 vs Caucaia U20
2:0
Sep 21, 2025 Cearense U20
Caucaia U20 vs Ceara U20
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Caucaia U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Levi J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mikeias
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Ceara U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caucaia U20 18 / 100
Ceara U20 58 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caucaia U20 Ceara U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ceara U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caucaia U20 found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (26 games).

Ceara U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 43 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Caucaia U20 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Caucaia U20 VS Ceara U20
0.25 Goals Scored 3
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Caucaia U20

(Home)
18 Jul
Floresta EC U20
1 : 0
Caucaia U20
15 Jul
Caucaia U20
1 : 2
Fortaleza U20
06 Jun
Caucaia U20
0 : 0
Alianca Futebol Clube U20
23 May
Caucaia U20
0 : 2
Quixada U20
09 May
Juazeiro CE U20
0 : 2
Caucaia U20
Page 1 of 6

Ceara U20

(Away)
07 Oct
Ceara U20
1 : 0
Ferroviario U20
01 Oct
Fortaleza U20
2 : 3
Ceara U20
09 Sept
Ceara U20
2 : 1
Atletico-PI U20
04 Sept
Ceara U20
0 : 0
Fortaleza U20
21 Aug
Tirol U20
2 : 3
Ceara U20
Page 1 of 9

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Ceara U20 3
Caucaia U20 2
Floresta EC U20 4
Ferroviario U20 5
Fortaleza U20 2
Atletico Cearense U20 1
Quixada U20 4
Tirol U20 3
Semi-finals
Ceara U20 1
Ferroviario U20 3
Fortaleza U20 7
Quixada U20 1
Final
Ferroviario U20 1
Fortaleza U20 6