Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Caucaia U20 vs Itarema U20

Brazil Brazil

Cearense U20 2025 Estádio Municipal Raimundo de Oliveira, Itambe
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Oliveira M.
53' Event
Gomes H.
88' Event
Caiky

AI Match Summary

The Cearense U20 2025 game between Caucaia U20 and Itarema U20 finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Caucaia U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Caucaia U20
15%
Draws
0%
Itarema U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Caucaia U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Caucaia U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Caucaia U20 taking it.
  • Regular Cearense U20 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 36.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Caucaia U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Itarema U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caucaia U20 Itarema U20
Matches Played 26 13
Wins 9 1
Draws 2 1
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.08 0.62
Goals Conceded 1.54 2.92
Expected Goals (xG) 2.83 1.02
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2025 Cearense U20
Caucaia U20 vs Itarema U20
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Caucaia U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Gomes H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Caiky
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.18
Avg xA / game 1.42

Itarema U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Oliveira M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.93
Avg xA / game 0.57

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caucaia U20 85 / 100
Itarema U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caucaia U20 Itarema U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Caucaia U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Itarema U20 has conceded goals in 85% of their last 13 outings.

Away concern: Itarema U20 has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Caucaia U20's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Caucaia U20 VS Itarema U20
1.25 Goals Scored 0.8
1.25 Goals Conceded 4.4
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 60%

Recent Form & Match History

Caucaia U20

(Home)
18 Jul
Floresta EC U20
1 : 0
Caucaia U20
15 Jul
Caucaia U20
1 : 2
Fortaleza U20
06 Jun
Caucaia U20
0 : 0
Alianca Futebol Clube U20
23 May
Caucaia U20
0 : 2
Quixada U20
09 May
Juazeiro CE U20
0 : 2
Caucaia U20
Page 1 of 6

Itarema U20

(Away)
06 Sept
Itarema U20
1 : 6
Horizonte U20
23 Aug
Itarema U20
0 : 7
Ferroviario U20
30 Jul
Ceara U20
5 : 1
Itarema U20
12 Jul
Alianca Futebol Clube U20
2 : 1
Itarema U20
28 Jun
Itarema U20
1 : 2
Anjos do Ceu U20
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ceara U20 8 6 1 1 27:6 19
2 Floresta EC U20 8 5 1 2 16:2 16
3 Caucaia U20 8 4 1 3 10:10 13
4 Ferroviario U20 7 3 3 1 13:5 12
5 Horizonte U20 8 3 2 3 11:9 11
6 Anjos do Ceu U20 8 3 0 5 9:24 9
7 Alianca Futebol Clube U20 8 2 1 5 9:19 7
Promotion - Cearense U20 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fortaleza U20 7 6 1 0 21:2 19
2 Quixada U20 7 4 1 2 8:9 13
3 Tirol U20 7 3 3 1 11:5 12
4 Atletico Cearense U20 7 3 2 2 10:8 11
5 Pacatuba U20 7 3 0 4 11:14 9
6 Itapipoca U20 7 1 2 4 6:10 5
7 Itarema U20 7 0 0 7 5:28 0
8 Esporte Limoeiro U20 6 0 0 6 3:19 0
Promotion - Cearense U20 2025 (Play Offs)