Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Caudal Deportivo vs Barcia

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

47' Event
Erasmo P.
71' Event
Castiello P.
88' Event
Erasmo P.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2023/2024 game between Caudal Deportivo and Barcia finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Caudal Deportivo
6%
Draws
4%
Barcia
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Caudal Deportivo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Caudal Deportivo come out ahead of Barcia on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Caudal Deportivo's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Caudal Deportivo Clean Sheet 68%
Barcia Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caudal Deportivo Barcia
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 18 2
Draws 7 6
Losses 7 22
Goals Scored 1.13 0
Goals Conceded 1.13 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 27, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Caudal Deportivo vs Barcia
2:2
Nov 12, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Barcia vs Caudal Deportivo
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Caudal Deportivo Compare

Top Goalscorer Castiello P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Donate H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Barcia Compare

Top Goalscorer Erasmo P.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caudal Deportivo 95 / 100
Barcia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caudal Deportivo Barcia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caudal Deportivo scored in 81% of their last 32 games.

Barcia has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Caudal Deportivo has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Caudal Deportivo VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Llanera342833105:2587
2Gijon B34218561:1571
3Lealtad34198753:2565
4Union Club Ceares34198752:3065
5L Entregu CF34189751:3263
6Praviano341316534:2655
7Tuilla341313856:4352
8Basico Urraca3411111233:3544
9Caudal Deportivo34916935:3543
10CD Colunga341181538:4441
11Lenense341081632:4538
12Aviles Stadium348121430:4336
13Real Titanico34991643:6336
14Condal341061828:4936
15Llanes34981736:5435
16Gijon Industrial34791836:6730
17Luarca34672138:7525
18Barcia34272526:8113