Sport Picks

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Cavalier vs Tivoli

Jamaica Jamaica

Premier League Stadium East, Kingston
Our Tip

Match Events

82' Event
Gordon K.
84' Event
Fuller N.
90' Event
Ewen D.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Cavalier and Tivoli finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tivoli.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Cavalier
20%
Draws
0%
Tivoli
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cavalier

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Cavalier carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Cavalier taking it.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Cavalier Clean Sheet 68%
Tivoli Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cavalier Tivoli
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 14 8
Draws 5 8
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.25 0.93
Goals Conceded 0.91 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 2.09 0.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Premier League
Tivoli vs Cavalier
0:2
Jan 25, 2026 Premier League
Cavalier vs Tivoli
1:2
Oct 5, 2025 Premier League
Tivoli vs Cavalier
0:2
Apr 3, 2025 Premier League
Tivoli vs Cavalier
1:1
Jan 30, 2025 Premier League
Cavalier vs Tivoli
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cavalier Compare

Top Goalscorer Gordon K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.61
Avg xA / game 1.04

Tivoli Compare

Top Goalscorer Fuller N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ewen D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.61
Avg xA / game 0.37

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cavalier 95 / 100
Tivoli 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cavalier Tivoli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cavalier Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Difficult form: Tivoli registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Cavalier scored in 69% of their last 32 outings.

Tivoli has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Cavalier VS Tivoli
1.75 Goals Scored 0.71
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.43
88% Over 1.5 86%
50% Over 2.5 43%
13% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Cavalier

(Home)
21 Aug
Cavalier
0 : 0
Salcedo
06 Aug
Cibao
0 : 0
Cavalier
25 May
Cavalier
2 : 3
Portmore
21 May
Montego Bay
0 : 2
Cavalier
17 May
Cavalier
0 : 1
Montego Bay
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Tivoli

(Away)
06 May
Portmore
3 : 0
Tivoli
03 May
Tivoli
0 : 2
Cavalier
30 Apr
Treasure Beach
4 : 2
Tivoli
27 Apr
Molynes United
2 : 0
Tivoli
22 Apr
Montego Bay
5 : 1
Tivoli
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mount Pleasant 39 20 14 5 69:25 74
2 Montego Bay 39 21 8 10 79:45 71
3 Portmore 39 17 15 7 54:35 66
4 Waterhouse 39 19 8 12 51:32 65
5 Cavalier 39 19 4 16 57:41 61
6 Racing United 39 14 18 7 53:34 60
7 Arnett Gardens 39 17 7 15 68:46 58
8 Chapelton 39 14 7 18 42:57 49
9 FC Dunbeholden 39 13 9 17 40:53 48
10 Tivoli 39 11 11 17 37:58 44
11 Treasure Beach 39 10 13 16 43:59 43
12 Molynes United 39 9 15 15 45:47 42
13 Harbour View 39 9 12 18 53:73 39
14 Spanish Town Police 39 7 5 27 25:111 26
Promotion - Premier League (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League (Play Offs)