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Cavalier vs Waterhouse

Jamaica Jamaica

Premier League 2025/2026 Stadium East, Kingston
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Barrow N.
7' Event
Thomas D.
36' Event
Massicot D.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-2. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Cavalier
30%
Draws
47%
Waterhouse
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Waterhouse

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Waterhouse at 1.55 per game, Cavalier at 1.34.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Waterhouse taking it.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Waterhouse, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Cavalier Clean Sheet 17%
Waterhouse Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cavalier Waterhouse
Matches Played 35 29
Wins 16 16
Draws 6 6
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.34 1.55
Goals Conceded 0.97 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 Premier League
Waterhouse vs Cavalier
0:2
May 11, 2026 Premier League
Cavalier vs Waterhouse
2:2
Mar 22, 2026 Premier League
Waterhouse vs Cavalier
2:1
Jan 12, 2026 Premier League
Waterhouse vs Cavalier
0:0
Sep 9, 2025 Premier League
Cavalier vs Waterhouse
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cavalier Compare

Top Goalscorer Massicot D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Scott K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Waterhouse Compare

Top Goalscorer Barrow N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Thomas D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cavalier 12 / 100
Waterhouse 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cavalier Waterhouse

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Waterhouse Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Cavalier scored in 69% of their last 35 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Cavalier remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Waterhouse let in goals in 48% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Cavalier VS Waterhouse
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cavalier

(Home)
17 Sept
Mount Pleasant
1 : 0
Cavalier
13 Sept
FC Dunbeholden
1 : 2
Cavalier
04 Sept
Cavalier
0 : 2
Portmore
21 Aug
Cavalier
0 : 0
Salcedo
06 Aug
Cibao
0 : 0
Cavalier
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Waterhouse

(Away)
21 Sept
Humble Lions
0 : 5
Waterhouse
13 May
Waterhouse
0 : 2
Cavalier
11 May
Cavalier
2 : 2
Waterhouse
06 May
Waterhouse
4 : 0
FC Dunbeholden
03 May
Waterhouse
3 : 0
Chapelton
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Mount Pleasant -
TBD -
Portmore 5
Racing United 3
Montego Bay -
TBD -
Waterhouse 2
Cavalier 4
Semi-finals
Mount Pleasant 3
Portmore 4
Montego Bay 1
Cavalier 2
Final
Portmore 3
Cavalier 2
Mount Pleasant 3
Montego Bay 2