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Cavalry vs Atletico Ottawa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Canada Canada

Canadian Premier League ATCO Field, Foothills County, AB
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Match Events

13' Event
Edwards N.
Assist: Pearlman A.
18' Event
Warschewski T.
Assist: Ingham N.
22' Event
Fleuriau Chateau N.
Assist: Antinoro G.

AI Match Summary

The Canadian Premier League game between Cavalry and Atletico Ottawa finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cavalry.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Cavalry
20%
Draws
33%
Atletico Ottawa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cavalry

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Atletico Ottawa haven't matched Cavalry's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Cavalry's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Canadian Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Cavalry Clean Sheet 17%
Atletico Ottawa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cavalry Atletico Ottawa
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 18 14
Draws 5 5
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 2.07 1.76
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 30, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Atletico Ottawa vs Cavalry
3:2
Aug 22, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Cavalry vs Atletico Ottawa
3:1
Jul 4, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Atletico Ottawa vs Cavalry
0:3
Apr 12, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Cavalry vs Atletico Ottawa
3:1
Nov 9, 2025 Canadian Premier League
Atletico Ottawa vs Cavalry
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cavalry Compare

Top Goalscorer Warschewski T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Edwards N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Atletico Ottawa Compare

Top Goalscorer Fleuriau Chateau N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cavalry 48 / 100
Atletico Ottawa 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cavalry Atletico Ottawa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cavalry Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cavalry's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Atletico Ottawa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Cavalry has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cavalry VS Atletico Ottawa
2.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cavalry

(Home)
07 Nov
Cavalry
2 : 0
Supra du Quebec
01 Nov
Supra du Quebec
2 : 1
Cavalry
25 Oct
Cavalry
1 : 0
Vancouver FC
17 Oct
Cavalry
4 : 2
Pacific FC
12 Oct
HFX Wanderers
2 : 2
Cavalry
Page 1 of 6

Atletico Ottawa

(Away)
07 Nov
Forge FC
2 : 3
Atletico Ottawa
01 Nov
Atletico Ottawa
2 : 2
Forge FC
25 Oct
Inter Toronto
2 : 1
Atletico Ottawa
17 Oct
Atletico Ottawa
1 : 2
Forge FC
11 Oct
Pacific FC
0 : 2
Atletico Ottawa
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cavalry 28 18 6 4 58:23 60
2 Forge FC 28 17 7 4 49:22 58
3 Atletico Ottawa 28 13 4 11 42:45 43
4 Supra du Quebec 28 11 5 12 47:50 38
5 Vancouver FC 28 10 7 11 39:37 37
6 Inter Toronto 28 7 9 12 42:65 30
7 HFX Wanderers 28 7 7 14 44:50 28
8 Pacific FC 28 2 9 17 33:62 15
Promotion - Canadian Premier League (Play Offs)