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Cavalry vs Atletico Ottawa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Canada Canada

Canadian Premier League ATCO Field, Foothills County, AB
Sat, Nov 21, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 3-2. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Cavalry have averaged 2.07 scored and 0.97 conceded recently, against Atletico Ottawa's 1.76 scored and 1.72 conceded. Past meetings favor Cavalry slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 30, 2026, ending 3:2. xG projections (2.06 - 1.38) back Cavalry to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Cavalry
20%
Draws
33%
Atletico Ottawa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cavalry

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Atletico Ottawa haven't matched Cavalry's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Cavalry a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Cavalry have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Cavalry, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Cavalry Clean Sheet 17%
Atletico Ottawa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cavalry Atletico Ottawa
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 18 14
Draws 5 5
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 2.07 1.76
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 30, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Atletico Ottawa vs Cavalry
3:2
Aug 22, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Cavalry vs Atletico Ottawa
3:1
Jul 4, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Atletico Ottawa vs Cavalry
0:3
Apr 12, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Cavalry vs Atletico Ottawa
3:1
Nov 9, 2025 Canadian Premier League
Atletico Ottawa vs Cavalry
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cavalry 48 / 100
Atletico Ottawa 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cavalry Atletico Ottawa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cavalry Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cavalry's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Atletico Ottawa has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Cavalry stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cavalry VS Atletico Ottawa
2.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cavalry

(Home)
07 Nov
Cavalry
2 : 0
Supra du Quebec
01 Nov
Supra du Quebec
2 : 1
Cavalry
25 Oct
Cavalry
1 : 0
Vancouver FC
17 Oct
Cavalry
4 : 2
Pacific FC
12 Oct
HFX Wanderers
2 : 2
Cavalry
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Atletico Ottawa

(Away)
07 Nov
Forge FC
2 : 3
Atletico Ottawa
01 Nov
Atletico Ottawa
2 : 2
Forge FC
25 Oct
Inter Toronto
2 : 1
Atletico Ottawa
17 Oct
Atletico Ottawa
1 : 2
Forge FC
11 Oct
Pacific FC
0 : 2
Atletico Ottawa
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Cavalry 3
Supra du Quebec 2
Forge FC 4
Atletico Ottawa 5
Final
Cavalry -
Atletico Ottawa -