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Cavaly vs America des Cayes

Haiti Haiti

Championnat National
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

America des Cayes in this Championnat National matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored America des Cayes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Cavaly
30%
Draws
39%
America des Cayes
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: America des Cayes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to America des Cayes lately — more wins on the board than Cavaly.
  • 31% — that's where the model lands on Cavaly taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Cavaly Clean Sheet 20%
America des Cayes Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cavaly America des Cayes
Matches Played 25 28
Wins 10 11
Draws 7 10
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.48 1.18
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2025 Championnat National
Cavaly vs America des Cayes
0:1
Apr 23, 2025 Championnat National
America des Cayes vs Cavaly
2:1
Apr 6, 2025 Championnat National
Cavaly vs America des Cayes
1:1
Mar 27, 2025 Championnat National
America des Cayes vs Cavaly
0:0
Apr 21, 2024 Championnat National
America des Cayes vs Cavaly
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cavaly 40 / 100
America des Cayes 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cavaly America des Cayes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cavaly Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Cavaly scored in 75% of their last 24 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

America des Cayes's defensive record shows goals conceded in 48% of 27 matches.

Solid form: Cavaly remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cavaly VS America des Cayes
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cavaly

(Home)
14 May
Cavaly
0 : 1
America des Cayes
11 May
Juventus
1 : 1
Cavaly
23 Apr
America des Cayes
2 : 1
Cavaly
20 Apr
Cavaly
3 : 0
Juventus
09 Apr
Juventus
1 : 0
Cavaly
Page 1 of 5

America des Cayes

(Away)
28 May
Violette
2 : 0
America des Cayes
25 May
America des Cayes
1 : 1
Juventus
22 May
Don Bosco
1 : 1
America des Cayes
17 May
America des Cayes
0 : 2
Juventus
14 May
Cavaly
0 : 1
America des Cayes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Capoise 6 3 2 1 6:3 11
2 Fica 6 2 3 1 5:4 9
3 Real Hope 6 2 2 2 4:4 8
4 Ouanaminthe 6 1 1 4 3:7 4
Promotion - Championnat National (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Baltimore 8 5 3 0 8:2 18
2 Tempete 8 2 5 1 9:7 11
3 Triomphe Liancourt 8 0 2 6 5:13 2
Promotion - Championnat National (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Violette 8 6 2 0 17:3 20
2 Don Bosco 8 2 3 3 7:7 9
3 Racing Haitien 8 1 1 6 2:16 4
Promotion - Championnat National (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America des Cayes 8 3 4 1 6:5 13
2 Juventus 8 3 3 2 8:8 12
3 Cavaly 8 1 3 4 8:9 6
Promotion - Championnat National (Championship Group)