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Cavaly vs Racing Haitien

Haiti Haiti

Championnat National 2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Championnat National 2021 game between Cavaly and Racing Haitien finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cavaly.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Cavaly
20%
Draws
40%
Racing Haitien
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cavaly come out ahead of Racing Haitien on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Cavaly's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Cavaly Clean Sheet 20%
Racing Haitien Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cavaly Racing Haitien
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 12 6
Draws 8 9
Losses 9 17
Goals Scored 1.45 0.69
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2024 Championnat National
Racing Haitien vs Cavaly
0:2
Mar 31, 2024 Championnat National
Cavaly vs Racing Haitien
1:1
May 30, 2021 Championnat National
Cavaly vs Racing Haitien
4:1
Oct 25, 2020 Championnat National
Racing Haitien vs Cavaly
0:0
Oct 6, 2019 Championnat National
Racing Haitien vs Cavaly
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cavaly 85 / 100
Racing Haitien 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cavaly Racing Haitien

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cavaly Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cavaly's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Racing Haitien let in goals in 72% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Away concern: Racing Haitien has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cavaly VS Racing Haitien
1 Goals Scored 0.13
1 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cavaly

(Home)
14 May
Cavaly
0 : 1
America des Cayes
11 May
Juventus
1 : 1
Cavaly
23 Apr
America des Cayes
2 : 1
Cavaly
20 Apr
Cavaly
3 : 0
Juventus
09 Apr
Juventus
1 : 0
Cavaly
Page 1 of 6

Racing Haitien

(Away)
11 May
Violette
1 : 0
Racing Haitien
04 May
Racing Haitien
1 : 0
Don Bosco
27 Apr
Racing Haitien
0 : 5
Violette
20 Apr
Don Bosco
0 : 0
Racing Haitien
13 Apr
Violette
3 : 0
Racing Haitien
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Don Bosco 8 4 4 0 14:5 16
2 Mirebalais 9 3 6 0 8:5 15
3 Ouanaminthe 9 4 3 2 8:6 15
4 Rivartibonitienne 9 3 5 1 7:6 14
5 Arcahaie 6 3 3 0 7:1 12
6 Cavaly 6 3 3 0 9:4 12
7 Fica 9 3 3 3 5:4 12
8 Tempete 8 3 3 2 7:8 12
9 AS Capoise 9 3 2 4 6:5 11
10 Triomphe Liancourt 8 2 4 2 8:6 10
11 Real du Cap 9 3 1 5 10:11 10
12 Violette 9 2 4 3 7:8 10
13 Racing des Gonaives 9 2 4 3 4:7 10
14 America des Cayes 7 2 2 3 7:7 8
15 Juventus 8 2 2 4 5:8 8
16 Baltimore 8 1 3 4 6:9 6
17 Racing Haitien 8 1 3 4 8:16 6
18 Cosmopolites 7 1 1 5 3:13 4
Promotion - Championnat National 2021 (Serie de Cloture - Play Offs)
Promotion - Championnat National 2021 (Serie de Cloture - Play Offs)