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Caversham vs Tauranga

New Zealand New Zealand

Football Championship 2003
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Football Championship 2003 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Caversham
15%
Draws
28%
Tauranga
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Caversham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Caversham lately — more wins on the board than Tauranga.
  • Caversham are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 66%
Over 4.5 Goals 30%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Caversham Clean Sheet 11%
Tauranga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caversham Tauranga
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 10
Draws 5 4
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 1.43 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 2.08 1.79
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2003 Football Championship
Tauranga vs Caversham
0:1
Feb 23, 2003 Football Championship
Caversham vs Tauranga
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caversham 38 / 100
Tauranga 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caversham Tauranga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Caversham Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caversham scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Tauranga has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Tauranga has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Caversham VS Tauranga
1.88 Goals Scored 1.57
2 Goals Conceded 2.29
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 86%
75% Over 3.5 57%

Recent Form & Match History

Caversham

(Home)
03 Aug
Caversham
1 : 2
Bay Olympic
07 Jul
Roslyn Wakari
2 : 3
Caversham
15 Jul
Cashmere Technical
2 : 0
Caversham
06 Aug
Waitakere City
3 : 1
Caversham
16 Jul
Queenstown Rovers
0 : 1
Caversham
Page 1 of 6

Tauranga

(Away)
12 Jul
Tauranga
1 : 2
Eastern Suburbs
29 Jun
Tauranga
0 : 2
Onehunga
25 May
North Shore
3 : 1
Tauranga
18 May
Tauranga
2 : 3
Napier City
11 May
Tauranga
3 : 2
Canterbury
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Miramar 18 11 0 7 46:29 33
2 East Auckland 18 10 3 5 34:24 33
3 Central United 18 10 1 7 44:29 31
4 Napier City 18 9 2 7 29:28 29
5 Manawatu 18 8 3 7 32:29 27
6 Canterbury 18 7 5 6 34:34 26
7 North Shore 18 6 5 7 30:34 23
8 Caversham 18 5 5 8 19:26 20
9 Dunedin 18 6 2 10 24:38 20
10 Tauranga 18 4 2 12 20:41 14
Promotion - Football Championship 2003 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Football Championship 2003 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Football Championship 2003 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Football Championship 2003 (Play Offs)