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Cavese vs Casertana - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 Stadio Simonetta Lamberti, Cava de' Tirreni
Cavese Logo

Cavese

0 - 1
FT
Casertana Logo

Casertana

Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Kontek I.
46'
Sub
Kontek I. In: Viscardi A.
Out: Kontek I.
46'
Sub
Girelli S. In: Bentivegna A.
Out: Girelli S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Casertana in this Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Casertana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Cavese
20%
Draws
40%
Casertana
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Casertana lately — more wins on the board than Cavese.
  • Model gives Cavese a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Cavese Clean Sheet 68%
Casertana Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cavese Casertana
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 13
Draws 11 8
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Cavese vs Casertana
2:0
Apr 4, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Cavese vs Casertana
0:1
Nov 29, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Casertana vs Cavese
3:1
Mar 3, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Cavese vs Casertana
1:0
Oct 21, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Casertana vs Cavese
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cavese Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Casertana Compare

Top Goalscorer Casarotto M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cavese 50 / 100
Casertana 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cavese Casertana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cavese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Cavese scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Casertana's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Cavese stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cavese VS Casertana
1 Goals Scored 1.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cavese

(Home)
03 Oct
Cavese
2 : 0
Casertana
26 Sept
Cavese
4 : 2
A.C. Savoia
20 Sept
Potenza
4 : 2
Cavese
15 Sept
Cavese
2 : 3
Sorrento
12 Sept
Cosenza
0 : 0
Cavese
Page 1 of 6

Casertana

(Away)
03 Oct
Cavese
2 : 0
Casertana
27 Sept
Casertana
1 : 2
Catania
19 Sept
Audace Cerignola
0 : 0
Casertana
15 Sept
Casertana
1 : 0
Altamura
12 Sept
Inter U23
2 : 3
Casertana
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benevento 38 25 7 6 74:28 82
2 Catania 38 19 13 6 54:25 70
3 Salernitana 38 20 9 9 50:42 69
4 Cosenza 38 19 10 9 58:40 67
5 Casertana 38 19 9 10 55:44 66
6 Crotone 38 18 7 13 59:40 61
7 Monopoli 38 15 11 12 39:41 56
8 Casarano 38 16 8 14 56:57 56
9 Audace Cerignola 38 14 12 12 50:54 54
10 Potenza 38 12 13 13 54:56 49
11 Atalanta U23 38 11 12 15 53:50 45
12 Altamura 38 11 12 15 32:49 45
13 Latina 38 10 12 16 35:44 42
14 Cavese 38 9 15 14 36:42 42
15 Picerno 38 9 13 16 43:55 40
16 Sorrento 38 9 12 17 39:55 39
17 Giugliano 38 9 10 19 35:52 37
18 Foggia 38 6 9 23 28:60 27
19 Siracusa 38 9 10 19 48:57 26
20 Trapani 38 13 10 15 47:54 24
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
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Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)