Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cavese vs Lavello - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Maione V.
10' Event
Foggia C.
85' Event
Gagliardi M.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group H 2022/2023 game between Cavese and Lavello finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cavese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Cavese
15%
Draws
26%
Lavello
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cavese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Cavese carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Cavese taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Cavese Clean Sheet 68%
Lavello Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cavese Lavello
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 10 6
Draws 11 4
Losses 11 20
Goals Scored 1.03 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2023 Serie D - Group H
Cavese vs Lavello
2:1
Nov 13, 2022 Serie D - Group H
Lavello vs Cavese
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cavese Compare

Top Goalscorer Foggia C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gagliardi M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Lavello Compare

Top Goalscorer Maione V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cavese 95 / 100
Lavello 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cavese Lavello

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cavese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lavello let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Cavese scored in 66% of their last 32 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Cavese went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cavese VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cavese

(Home)
03 Oct
Cavese
2 : 0
Casertana
26 Sept
Cavese
4 : 2
A.C. Savoia
20 Sept
Potenza
4 : 2
Cavese
15 Sept
Cavese
2 : 3
Sorrento
12 Sept
Cosenza
0 : 0
Cavese
Page 1 of 7

Lavello

(Away)
07 May
Gravina
3 : 1
Lavello
30 Apr
Lavello
4 : 3
Puteolana Internapoli
23 Apr
Francavilla
2 : 0
Lavello
16 Apr
Lavello
1 : 3
Matera
06 Apr
Bitonto
2 : 1
Lavello
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brindisi 34 20 9 5 59:27 69
2 Cavese 34 20 9 5 66:35 69
3 A.C.D. Nardo 34 18 11 5 51:26 65
4 Barletta 34 17 13 4 42:29 64
5 Casarano 34 13 18 3 46:32 57
6 Altamura 34 15 11 8 51:37 56
7 Matera 34 13 11 10 53:46 50
8 Martina Calcio 34 11 12 11 40:43 45
9 Citta di Fasano 34 11 11 12 43:43 44
10 Bitonto 34 11 10 13 45:51 43
11 Afragolese 34 8 15 11 41:45 39
12 San Felice Gladiator 34 8 13 13 42:55 37
13 Nocerina 34 9 9 16 40:51 36
14 Gravina 34 7 15 12 29:41 36
15 Molfetta Calcio 34 7 11 16 40:50 32
16 Francavilla 34 7 9 18 38:51 30
17 Lavello 34 7 5 22 31:68 26
18 Puteolana Internapoli 34 3 10 21 32:59 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2022/2023 (Play Out)