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Cavese vs Nuova Florida - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Serie D - Group G 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
van Rijswijk K.
58' Event
Troest M.
60' Event
Negro L.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group G 2023/2024 game between Cavese and Nuova Florida finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nuova Florida.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Cavese
20%
Draws
29%
Nuova Florida
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cavese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cavese come out ahead of Nuova Florida on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Cavese's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group G 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 16%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Cavese Clean Sheet 68%
Nuova Florida Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cavese Nuova Florida
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 11 9
Draws 14 8
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.17 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 17, 2024 Serie D - Group G
Cavese vs Nuova Florida
2:3
Nov 5, 2023 Serie D - Group G
Nuova Florida vs Cavese
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cavese Compare

Top Goalscorer Troest M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Di Piazza M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Nuova Florida Compare

Top Goalscorer van Rijswijk K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Negro L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cavese 68 / 100
Nuova Florida 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cavese Nuova Florida

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cavese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Cavese scored in 64% of their last 36 outings.

Nuova Florida's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Cavese has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cavese VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cavese

(Home)
03 Oct
Cavese
2 : 0
Casertana
26 Sept
Cavese
4 : 2
A.C. Savoia
20 Sept
Potenza
4 : 2
Cavese
15 Sept
Cavese
2 : 3
Sorrento
12 Sept
Cosenza
0 : 0
Cavese
Page 1 of 8

Nuova Florida

(Away)
12 May
Latte Dolce
3 : 2
Nuova Florida
05 May
Nuova Florida
0 : 3
Romana
27 Apr
Latte Dolce
2 : 2
Nuova Florida
21 Apr
Nuova Florida
3 : 1
Anzio Calcio 1924
14 Apr
Cassino
2 : 0
Nuova Florida
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cavese 34 24 6 4 57:24 78
2 Nocerina 34 17 11 6 45:27 62
3 Romana 34 17 10 7 50:33 61
4 Ischia 34 16 12 6 42:25 60
5 Cassino 34 16 10 8 39:22 58
6 Flaminia 34 12 14 8 42:36 50
7 Ostiamare 34 13 8 13 53:42 47
8 Cynthialbalonga 34 12 11 11 44:37 47
9 Sarrabus Ogliastra 34 12 10 12 47:50 46
10 San Marzano 34 10 13 11 36:36 43
11 Trastevere Calcio 34 10 8 16 41:50 38
12 Atletico Uri 34 10 7 17 30:48 37
13 Latte Dolce 34 9 10 15 32:42 37
14 Anzio Calcio 1924 34 9 8 17 38:59 35
15 San Felice Gladiator 34 8 10 16 35:46 34
16 Nuova Florida 34 9 12 13 36:44 33
17 Boreale 34 4 15 15 20:44 27
18 Budoni Calcio 34 5 11 18 27:49 26
Promotion - Serie D - Group G 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G 2023/2024 (Play Out)