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Cavese vs San Felice Gladiator - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

75' Event
Lops F.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group G 2023/2024 game between Cavese and San Felice Gladiator finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cavese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Cavese
20%
Draws
29%
San Felice Gladiator
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cavese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • San Felice Gladiator haven't matched Cavese's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Cavese's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Cavese here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 74.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Cavese Clean Sheet 68%
San Felice Gladiator Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cavese San Felice Gladiator
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 8
Draws 11 7
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.16 1.21
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 18, 2024 Serie D - Group G
Cavese vs San Felice Gladiator
1:0
Oct 15, 2023 Serie D - Group G
San Felice Gladiator vs Cavese
1:3
Feb 26, 2023 Serie D - Group H
Cavese vs San Felice Gladiator
5:3
Oct 23, 2022 Serie D - Group H
San Felice Gladiator vs Cavese
1:3
Apr 30, 2017 Serie D - Group I
San Felice Gladiator vs Cavese
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cavese Compare

Top Goalscorer Lops F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.89
Avg xA / game 0.58

San Felice Gladiator Compare

Avg xG / game 1.1
Avg xA / game 0.67

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cavese 68 / 100
San Felice Gladiator 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cavese San Felice Gladiator

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cavese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Cavese's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

San Felice Gladiator let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Cavese went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cavese VS San Felice Gladiator
0.75 Goals Scored 1.29
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.57
63% Over 1.5 86%
25% Over 2.5 71%
13% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Cavese

(Home)
03 Oct
Cavese
2 : 0
Casertana
26 Sept
Cavese
4 : 2
A.C. Savoia
20 Sept
Potenza
4 : 2
Cavese
15 Sept
Cavese
2 : 3
Sorrento
12 Sept
Cosenza
0 : 0
Cavese
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San Felice Gladiator

(Away)
04 Oct
San Felice Gladiator
1 : 1
Turris
27 Sept
Virtus Francavilla
2 : 1
San Felice Gladiator
20 Sept
San Felice Gladiator
3 : 2
Fidelis Andria
16 Sept
Real Forio 2014
2 : 1
San Felice Gladiator
12 Sept
Gravina
3 : 1
San Felice Gladiator
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cavese 34 24 6 4 57:24 78
2 Nocerina 34 17 11 6 45:27 62
3 Romana 34 17 10 7 50:33 61
4 Ischia 34 16 12 6 42:25 60
5 Cassino 34 16 10 8 39:22 58
6 Flaminia 34 12 14 8 42:36 50
7 Ostiamare 34 13 8 13 53:42 47
8 Cynthialbalonga 34 12 11 11 44:37 47
9 Sarrabus Ogliastra 34 12 10 12 47:50 46
10 San Marzano 34 10 13 11 36:36 43
11 Trastevere Calcio 34 10 8 16 41:50 38
12 Atletico Uri 34 10 7 17 30:48 37
13 Latte Dolce 34 9 10 15 32:42 37
14 Anzio Calcio 1924 34 9 8 17 38:59 35
15 San Felice Gladiator 34 8 10 16 35:46 34
16 Nuova Florida 34 9 12 13 36:44 33
17 Boreale 34 4 15 15 20:44 27
18 Budoni Calcio 34 5 11 18 27:49 26
Promotion - Serie D - Group G 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G 2023/2024 (Play Out)