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Cayeli SK vs Karabuk Idmanyurdu Prediction & H2H Stats

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 3 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Durgut M.
Assist: Kocaturk S.
38'
Durgut M.
38'
Durgut M.

AI Match Summary

The 3. Lig Group 3 2025/2026 game between Cayeli SK and Karabuk Idmanyurdu finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Karabuk Idmanyurdu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Cayeli SK
20%
Draws
40%
Karabuk Idmanyurdu
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Karabuk Idmanyurdu carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular 3. Lig Group 3 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 53.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Cayeli SK Clean Sheet 15%
Karabuk Idmanyurdu Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cayeli SK Karabuk Idmanyurdu
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 5 14
Draws 9 4
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 0.83 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.54
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 3. Lig Group 3
Cayeli SK vs Karabuk Idmanyurdu
0:1
Oct 19, 2025 3. Lig Group 3
Karabuk Idmanyurdu vs Cayeli SK
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cayeli SK Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Karabuk Idmanyurdu Compare

Top Goalscorer Durgut M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.4
Avg xA / game 0.86

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cayeli SK 31 / 100
Karabuk Idmanyurdu 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cayeli SK Karabuk Idmanyurdu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Karabuk Idmanyurdu Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Cayeli SK stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Cayeli SK's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Karabuk Idmanyurdu has conceded goals in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cayeli SK VS Karabuk Idmanyurdu
1.14 Goals Scored 1.38
1.71 Goals Conceded 1.25
57% Over 1.5 50%
57% Over 2.5 50%
43% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cayeli SK

(Home)
18 Apr
Fatsa Bld.
5 : 1
Cayeli SK
12 Apr
Cayeli SK
3 : 2
Hopaspor
05 Apr
Karadeniz Eregli
1 : 0
Cayeli SK
28 Mar
Cayeli SK
0 : 0
Sebat Spor Kulubu
24 Mar
Orduspor 1967
1 : 3
Cayeli SK
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Karabuk Idmanyurdu

(Away)
03 Oct
Karabuk Idmanyurdu
1 : 2
Amasyaspor
27 Sept
Pazarspor
0 : 1
Karabuk Idmanyurdu
19 Sept
Karabuk Idmanyurdu
0 : 0
Karadeniz Eregli
13 Sept
Zonguldak Komurspor
1 : 2
Karabuk Idmanyurdu
06 Sept
Karabuk Idmanyurdu
1 : 5
Bulvarspor
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sebat Spor Kulubu 30 20 7 3 56:23 67
2 52 Orduspor 30 18 4 8 68:30 58
3 Karadeniz Eregli 30 16 9 5 44:29 57
4 Yozgat 30 17 6 7 58:27 57
5 Fatsa Bld. 30 15 4 11 40:32 49
6 Zonguldak Komurspor 30 13 7 10 48:30 46
7 Pazarspor 30 11 10 9 29:31 43
8 Karabuk Idmanyurdu 30 12 5 13 32:47 41
9 Duzcespor 30 11 7 12 30:36 40
10 Tokat Bld Plevnespor 30 10 6 14 31:38 36
11 Orduspor 1967 30 9 7 14 35:51 34
12 Amasyaspor 30 9 6 15 28:40 33
13 Hopaspor 30 9 5 16 38:50 32
14 Bulancakspor 30 8 5 17 30:60 29
15 Cayeli SK 30 5 9 16 25:46 24
16 Giresunspor 30 4 9 17 21:43 21
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)