Sport Picks

Turkey

3. Lig Group 3

Cayeli SK

0 - 1

Karabuk Idmanyurdu

Our Tip

Match Events

29'

Durgut M.

Assist: Kocaturk S.

38'

Durgut M.

38'

Durgut M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 3. Lig Group 3 game between Cayeli SK and Karabuk Idmanyurdu finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Karabuk Idmanyurdu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%

Cayeli SK

22%

Draws

60%

Karabuk Idmanyurdu

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Karabuk Idmanyurdu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence

Karabuk Idmanyurdu carry the better recent record into this one.
Win probability leans Karabuk Idmanyurdu's way, sitting at 60%.
Regular 3. Lig Group 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 44%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%

Cayeli SK Clean Sheet 19%

Karabuk Idmanyurdu Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Cayeli SK	Karabuk Idmanyurdu
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	5	13
Draws	9	5
Losses	16	12
Goals Scored	0.75	1.38
Goals Conceded	1.13	0.88
Expected Goals (xG)	0.75	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 3. Lig Group 3

Cayeli SK vs Karabuk Idmanyurdu

Possession: 50% - 44% Cards: 1 - 0

0:1

Oct 19, 2025 3. Lig Group 3

Karabuk Idmanyurdu vs Cayeli SK

Possession: 55% - 46% Cards: 1 - 2

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cayeli SK Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58

Avg xA / game 0.38

Karabuk Idmanyurdu Compare

Top Goalscorer Durgut M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cayeli SK 20 / 100

Karabuk Idmanyurdu 68 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Cayeli SK Karabuk Idmanyurdu

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAR Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Cayeli SK stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Cayeli SK's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Karabuk Idmanyurdu has conceded goals in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cayeli SK VS Karabuk Idmanyurdu

0.75 Goals Scored 1.38

1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88

50% Over 1.5 38%

38% Over 2.5 38%

13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sebat Spor Kulubu	30	20	7	3	56:23	67
2	52 Orduspor	30	18	4	8	68:30	58
3	Karadeniz Eregli	30	16	9	5	44:29	57
4	Yozgat	30	17	6	7	58:27	57
5	Fatsa Bld.	30	15	4	11	40:32	49
6	Zonguldak Komurspor	30	13	7	10	48:30	46
7	Pazarspor	30	11	10	9	29:31	43
8	Karabuk Idmanyurdu	30	12	5	13	32:47	41
9	Duzcespor	30	11	7	12	30:36	40
10	Tokat Bld Plevnespor	30	10	6	14	31:38	36
11	Orduspor 1967	30	9	7	14	35:51	34
12	Amasyaspor	30	9	6	15	28:40	33
13	Hopaspor	30	9	5	16	38:50	32
14	Bulancakspor	30	8	5	17	30:60	29
15	Cayeli SK	30	5	9	16	25:46	24
16	Giresunspor	30	4	9	17	21:43	21